Stock · CAT · Industrials

Caterpillar Inc

United States · Large Cap · listed since 1962 · Revenue 12 mo. $74.7B

Price as of 11/06/2026

StockScorer score
5.5
of 10 6 of 11 points Medium Match To the score
Price
$558.63
1 Y −11.6%
Market cap
$260.6B
Phase
Payout
core business profitable, at least half of operating cash flow goes to shareholders
Revenue +4.4% a year (3 years)EBIT margin 16.6%Payout 69.3% of operating cash flow

Summary

Caterpillar Inc is around the middle of the Industrials sector overall

42.1 of 100

Mean of the six area values. Each area value is the mean of the stock's ranks among the companies in its sector. 50 is the middle of the sector, not a share of companies beaten.

Analysis

What the price requires

The price requires 16.0% FCF growth a year: more than over the last 10 years, less than over the last 5 years.

If free cash flow stays at €6.7B (2025), it supports €74.3B. The remaining €159.6B of the market value assume it grows 16.0% a year for 10 years and not at all afterwards.

Required FCF growth per year

16.0%

no growth afterwards

Market value breakdown€233.9B market value, price as of 11/06/2026

€74.3B without growth
€159.6B priced-in growth
  • 5 yrs achieved 22.7%
  • 10 yrs achieved 13.4%
  • priced in 16.0%

Valuation against its own history

Price to operating cash flow 19.0×, above its usual range.

Middle half of 20 quarters: 13.3× to 17.4×, median 14.9×.

Measures only against its own past, not against what the company is worth. Price as of 11/06/2026.

1 sign supports the expectation, 1 speaks against it.

What supports it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Steady FCF margin at least 6.7%, range 7.9 pp (10 years)

What speaks against it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • High leverage debt to equity 2.03

AI summary of the 2025 annual report

The business of Caterpillar Inc according to its report

A language model selected and condensed statements from the report. Each statement carries a verbatim quote. The selection is not complete and shows the state of the report. It gives no rating and does not feed into the score.

Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 12/31/2025, filed 02/13/2026. Open the report at the SEC

Business model according to the report

  • Construction Industries offers machines, related parts, services and worktools.

    Quote
    The Construction Industries product portfolio includes the following machines and related parts, services and worktools
  • Besides equipment, Resource Industries also sells technology products and services. These cover fleet management, equipment analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services and mining performance solutions.

    Quote
    In addition to equipment, Resource Industries sells technology products and services to provide customers fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services and mining performance solutions.
  • Cat Financial is fully owned by Caterpillar Inc. It offers retail and wholesale financing to customers and dealers worldwide for Caterpillar products and services.

    Quote
    Cat Financial is a wholly owned finance subsidiary of Caterpillar Inc., and it provides retail and wholesale financing alternatives to customers and dealers around the world for Caterpillar products and services
  • Cat Financial offers loans that let customers buy equipment and pay over time in structured payments.

    Quote
    Cat Financial offers loans that allow customers to purchase equipment with structured payments over time.
  • Machines are mainly distributed through a worldwide dealer network, with 41 dealers in the United States and 109 outside it.

    Quote
    We distribute our machines principally through a worldwide organization of dealers (dealer network), 41 located in the United States and 109 located outside the United States

Customers according to the report

  • The Power & Energy segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail and industrial applications.

    Quote
    Our Power & Energy segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail and industrial applications, including Caterpillar machines.
  • Most Construction Industries machine sales are made in heavy and general construction, rental, quarry and aggregates, and mining.

    Quote
    The majority of machine sales in this segment are made in the heavy and general construction, rental, quarry and aggregates and mining industries.
  • Cat Financial also lends to certain dealers for working capital and other purposes.

    Quote
    Cat Financial makes loans to certain dealers for working capital and other purposes.

Competition according to the report

  • Competition in all markets is based on product performance, customer service, quality and price.

    Quote
    In all markets, we compete on the basis of product performance, customer service, quality and price.
  • Competition for construction machinery features some global competitors and many regional and specialized local ones.

    Quote
    The competitive environment for construction machinery is characterized by some global competitors and many regional and specialized local competitors.
  • Global competitors in surface equipment include Deere Construction & Forestry, Epiroc AB, Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd., Komatsu Ltd., Liebherr-International AG, Sandvik AB and Volvo Construction Equipment.

    Quote
    Our global surface competitors include Deere Construction & Forestry (part of Deere & Company), Epiroc AB, Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd., Komatsu Ltd., Liebherr-International AG, Sandvik AB, and Volvo Construction Equipment.

Risks according to the report

  • Cat Financial carries credit risk on its customers.

    Quote
    Inherent in the operation of Cat Financial is the credit risk associated with its customers.
  • The company's business is affected by how its dealers and OEM customers manage inventory and source products.

    Quote
    Our business is subject to the inventory management decisions and sourcing practices of our dealers and our OEM customers.
  • A number of credit facilities and debt securities contain certain restrictive covenants that apply to the company and certain subsidiaries, including Cat Financial.

    Quote
    The agreements relating to a number of the facilities and the debt securities contain certain restrictive covenants applicable to us and certain subsidiaries, including Cat Financial.
  • Because a significant number of Cat Financial loans have fixed interest rates, its results are subject to interest rate changes.

    Quote
    Because a significant number of the loans made by Cat Financial are made utilizing fixed interest rates, its business results are subject to fluctuations in interest rates.
  • A downgrade of the company's credit rating by any major rating agency could raise borrowing costs and could hurt the liquidity and capital market access of Caterpillar and Cat Financial.

    Quote
    A downgrade of our credit rating by any of the major credit rating agencies could result in increased borrowing costs and could adversely affect Caterpillar’s and Cat Financial’s liquidity, competitive position and access to the capital markets

Since the last quarter

Q1 → Q2 2026

Mostly better than the previous quarter: 4 of 4 changes for the better.

  • Revenue, 12 mo.$70.8B → $74.7B+5.6%better
  • FCF, 12 mo.$7.9B → $9.0B+13.8%better
  • Gross margin32.5% → 33.9%+1.4 ppbetter
  • Return on equity50.5% → 55.9%+5.4 ppbetter

4 more unchanged: EBIT margin, FCF margin, Net debt, Shares outstanding

Derivation

How the sector comparison is derived

Each area value is the average of its metrics' ranks within the sector (0 to 100, 50 is the middle). For metrics where lower is better, the rank is mirrored. The overall value is the average of the area values.

Price as of 11/06/2026.

Profitability71.5above the middleEarns more than the sector: Return on equity 41.62%, sector 13.10%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Return on equity41.62%13.10%Rank 93
Return on capital (Greenblatt)36.08%19.33%Rank 70
EBIT margin16.59%11.28%Rank 71
FCF margin11.03%8.50%Rank 65
Gross margin32.34%28.98%Rank 59
Growth65.4above the middleGrows faster than the sector: Earnings growth, 5 years per year 28.19%, sector 12.89%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Revenue growth, 1 year4.29%5.15%Rank 46
Earnings growth, 3 years per year14.38%8.01%Rank 65
Earnings growth, 5 years per year28.19%12.89%Rank 84
Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings)6.34%4.02%Rank 67
Valuation28.9below the middleValued higher than the sector: EV/sales 4.35, sector 2.08.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Earnings yield3.39%4.42%Rank 33
FCF yield2.86%3.98%Rank 32
EV/saleslower is better4.352.08Rank 24
EV/EBITlower is better26.2219.47Rank 27
Momentum11.4below the middleShare price doing worse than the sector: Share price, 3 months −28.54%, sector 0.53%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Share price, 1 year−11.56%−0.01%Rank 30
Share price, 6 months−37.27%−1.43%Rank 6
Share price, 3 months−28.54%0.53%Rank 4
Distance from 52-week high−47.54%−16.36%Rank 6
Quality55.8around the middleQuality about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Accruals (Sloan)lower is better1.98%1.39%Rank 45
Change in share countlower is better−4.17%−0.44%Rank 91
Dividend streak in years125Rank 82
Price reaction to results, market-adjusted−9.20%0.27%Rank 5
Balance sheet & risk19.6below the middleMore risk than the sector: Debt to equity 2.03, sector 0.61.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Equity ratio21.62%39.65%Rank 15
Net debt/EBITDAlower is better2.251.38Rank 29
Debt to equitylower is better2.030.61Rank 10
Volatility, 1 yearlower is better40.20%32.95%Rank 25

Ten years in figures

Revenue from $38.5B (2016) to $67.6B (2025), 6.4% a year.

Fiscal years, amounts in USD
YearRevenue, $BEBIT marginFCF, $BSharesNet debt, $B
201638.53.0%2.7584M29.6
201745.59.8%3.4599M26.6
201854.715.2%3.6599M28.7
201953.815.4%4.2568M37.7
202041.710.9%4.2549M27.8
202151.013.5%4.7549M28.5
202259.413.3%5.2530M30.0
202367.119.3%9.8514M30.9
202464.820.2%8.8489M31.5
202567.616.6%7.5469M33.4
5.5 / 10Medium MatchStockScorer score6 of 11 points

4 of 7 StockScorer Score rules met · How the score is built

Caterpillar Inc mainly meets criteria in the Profitability category. Result from 18 strategies checked.

This stock · Profitability: 100%This stock · Growth: 50%This stock · Valuation: 0%This stock · Momentum: 0%Median of all stocks · Profitability: 33%Median of all stocks · Growth: 0%Median of all stocks · Valuation: 0%Median of all stocks · Momentum: 0%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationMomentumThis stockMedian of all stocks

How Caterpillar Inc's score is built

Caterpillar Inc is rated here with the StockScorer Score strategy, the flagship rule set. It compares return and cash-flow metrics with the median of the company's own sector and checks growth and price trend.

4 of 7 rules met

6 of 11 points

  1. Free cash flow yield above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  2. Return on capital (Greenblatt ROC) above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  3. Return on equity above the sector medianmet1 of 1 point
  4. Free cash flow margin above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  5. Revenue growth above 15%not met0 of 2 points
  6. 3-year earnings growth above 12% p.a.met1 of 1 point
  7. 12-month share price more than 20 percentage points ahead of the marketnot met0 of 1 point
  8. Exclusion: financial and real estate stocksdoes not apply

Detail data

How does Caterpillar Inc stock perform across 18 strategies?

Excerpt from 18 strategies checked. The full evaluation is visible after a free sign-up.

12 more strategies locked

With a free account, you can see the match across all strategies checked in one complete overview.

  • Moat Quality
  • Dividend Aristocrats & Continuity
  • Balanced GARP
  • Magic Formula: Value + Quality
  • Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value
  • Defensive: Low Volatility
  • High-Growth / Rule of 40
  • Levermann Strategy (13 Criteria)
  • PEG Strategy (inspired by Peter Lynch)
  • Trending Value: Value + Momentum
  • Undervalued Stocks: Multi-Factor Check
  • Growth Momentum (CAN SLIM principle)

Caterpillar Inc key metrics: P/E, P/B and equity ratio

Selected fundamental metrics for Caterpillar Inc.

MetricStockSector
P/E ratio29.522.5
P/B ratio12.32.9
Return on equity (ROE)41.6%13.1%
Equity ratio21.6%39.7%
Debt-to-equity (D/E)2.030.61
Dividend yield1.1%2.0%

Similar stocks in Industrials

How comparable stocks in the same sector score in the StockScorer model.

SymbolCompanyRating
CATCaterpillar Incthis page
DEDeere & CompanyLow1.8
VOLV-B.STAB Volvo (publ)locked
PCARPACCAR IncLow3.6
6301.TKomatsu Ltd.locked
DTG.DEDaimler Truck Holding AGlocked

Frequently asked questions about Caterpillar Inc stock

How does Caterpillar Inc stock (CAT) score in the StockScorer model?
Caterpillar Inc stock reaches a StockScorer score of 5.5 out of 10, which is a medium match with the rule-based strategies. 4 out of 7 flagship profile rules are met.
What is Caterpillar Inc's P/E ratio?
Caterpillar Inc's P/E ratio is 29.5. The Industrials sector median is 22.5.
What sector is Caterpillar Inc in?
Caterpillar Inc is assigned to the Industrials sector. Its rank within the sector is 42.1 out of 100: 100 means the stock leads its peer group of large and mid-cap sector stocks in every measured area.

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