Stock · DLTR · Consumer Defensive

Dollar Tree Inc

United States · Large Cap · listed since 1995 · Revenue 12 mo. $20.1B

Price as of 11/06/2026

StockScorer score
4.5
of 10 5 of 11 points Low Match To the score
Price
$131.14
1 Y +19.0%
Market cap
$23.8B
Phase
Payout
core business profitable, at least half of operating cash flow goes to shareholders
Revenue +8.0% a year (3 years)EBIT margin 8.5%Payout 61.2% of operating cash flow

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada.

moreless

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Original text from the data provider

Summary

Dollar Tree Inc is around the middle of the Consumer Defensive sector overall

49.0 of 100

Mean of the six area values. Each area value is the mean of the stock's ranks among the companies in its sector. 50 is the middle of the sector, not a share of companies beaten.

Analysis

What the price requires

The price requires 6.0% FCF growth a year: more than over the last 10 years, less than over the last 5 years.

If free cash flow stays at €1.3B (2026), it supports €13.9B. The remaining €7.4B of the market value assume it grows 6.0% a year for 10 years and not at all afterwards.

Required FCF growth per year

6.0%

no growth afterwards

Market value breakdown€21.3B market value, price as of 11/06/2026

€13.9B without growth
€7.4B priced-in growth
  • 5 yrs achieved 11.0%
  • 10 yrs achieved 5.6%
  • priced in 6.0%

Valuation against its own history

Price to operating cash flow 8.4×, within its usual range.

Middle half of 20 quarters: 7.8× to 18.0×, median 10.7×.

Measures only against its own past, not against what the company is worth. Price as of 11/06/2026.

2 signs support the expectation, 1 speaks against it.

What supports it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Low capital needs capex median 4.1% of revenue (10 years)
  • Steady FCF margin at least 1.6%, range 7.3 pp (10 years)

What speaks against it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Volatile earnings 5 drops or sign changes in up to 10 years

Since the last quarter

Q2 → Q3 2026

Mostly better than the previous quarter: 6 of 6 changes for the better.

  • FCF, 12 mo.$1.6B → $1.9B+18.9%better
  • Gross margin36.7% → 38.7%+2.0 ppbetter
  • EBIT margin8.5% → 10.7%+2.2 ppbetter
  • FCF margin7.9% → 9.2%+1.4 ppbetter
  • Shares outstanding197M → 191M−3.3%better
  • Return on equity36.7% → 47.1%+10.4 ppbetter

2 more unchanged: Revenue, 12 mo., Net debt

Derivation

How the sector comparison is derived

Each area value is the average of its metrics' ranks within the sector (0 to 100, 50 is the middle). For metrics where lower is better, the rank is mirrored. The overall value is the average of the area values.

Price as of 11/06/2026.

Profitability56.0around the middleEarns about as much as the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Return on equity34.16%12.35%Rank 90
Return on capital (Greenblatt)17.20%20.14%Rank 42
EBIT margin8.52%9.44%Rank 44
FCF margin7.20%6.71%Rank 54
Gross margin36.40%35.78%Rank 51
Growth59.8around the middleGrows about as fast as the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Revenue growth, 1 year10.43%2.12%Rank 95
Earnings growth, 3 years per year−4.81%5.20%Rank 28
Earnings growth, 5 years per year1.91%6.07%Rank 37
Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings)5.84%3.77%Rank 79
Valuation53.2around the middleValued about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Earnings yield4.74%4.25%Rank 59
FCF yield5.88%5.05%Rank 62
EV/saleslower is better1.551.51Rank 48
EV/EBITlower is better18.2116.74Rank 43
Momentum61.5above the middleShare price doing better than the sector: Share price, 6 months 39.64%, sector 11.30%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Share price, 1 year19.00%3.24%Rank 77
Share price, 6 months39.64%11.30%Rank 99
Share price, 3 months5.31%9.00%Rank 32
Distance from 52-week high−10.79%−7.96%Rank 39
Quality44.8around the middleQuality about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Accruals (Sloan)lower is better−3.23%−0.99%Rank 71
Change in share countlower is better−4.45%−0.62%Rank 93
Dividend streak in years–5Rank 7
Price reaction to results, market-adjusted−4.38%0.22%Rank 8
Balance sheet & risk18.7below the middleMore risk than the sector: Volatility, 1 year 41.65%, sector 25.82%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Equity ratio27.88%41.95%Rank 24
Net debt/EBITDAlower is better2.681.96Rank 28
Debt to equitylower is better1.880.67Rank 18
Volatility, 1 yearlower is better41.65%25.82%Rank 5

Ten years in figures

Revenue from $20.7B (2017) to $19.4B (2026), −0.7% a year.

Fiscal years, amounts in USD
YearRevenue, $BEBIT marginFCFSharesNet debt, $B
201720.78.2%$1.1B237M5.5
201822.29.0%$878.0M238M4.6
201922.8−4.1%$948.9M239M3.9
202023.65.4%$833.1M238M9.5
202125.57.4%$1.8B237M1.8
202226.36.9%$408.7M229M2.4
202315.413.6%$361.0M224M2.8
202416.810.6%$576.9M220M2.7
202517.68.3%$1.6B216M6.6
202619.48.5%$1.4B206M6.3
4.5 / 10Low MatchStockScorer score5 of 11 points

3 of 7 StockScorer Score rules met · How the score is built

Dollar Tree Inc mainly meets criteria in the Valuation category. Result from 18 strategies checked.

This stock · Profitability: 67%This stock · Growth: 0%This stock · Valuation: 100%This stock · Momentum: 0%Median of all stocks · Profitability: 33%Median of all stocks · Growth: 0%Median of all stocks · Valuation: 0%Median of all stocks · Momentum: 0%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationMomentumThis stockMedian of all stocks

How Dollar Tree Inc's score is built

Dollar Tree Inc is rated here with the StockScorer Score strategy, the flagship rule set. It compares return and cash-flow metrics with the median of the company's own sector and checks growth and price trend.

3 of 7 rules met

5 of 11 points

  1. Free cash flow yield above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  2. Return on capital (Greenblatt ROC) above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  3. Return on equity above the sector medianmet1 of 1 point
  4. Free cash flow margin above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  5. Revenue growth above 15%not met0 of 2 points
  6. 3-year earnings growth above 12% p.a.not met0 of 1 point
  7. 12-month share price more than 20 percentage points ahead of the marketnot met0 of 1 point
  8. Exclusion: financial and real estate stocksdoes not apply

Detail data

How does Dollar Tree Inc stock perform across 18 strategies?

Excerpt from 18 strategies checked. The full evaluation is visible after a free sign-up.

12 more strategies locked

With a free account, you can see the match across all strategies checked in one complete overview.

  • Trending Value: Value + Momentum
  • Moat Quality
  • Undervalued Stocks: Multi-Factor Check
  • Levermann Strategy (13 Criteria)
  • Magic Formula: Value + Quality
  • Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value
  • Defensive: Low Volatility
  • Dividend Aristocrats & Continuity
  • Dividend Quality: 4 Factors
  • Balanced GARP
  • High-Growth / Rule of 40
  • PEG Strategy (inspired by Peter Lynch)

Dollar Tree Inc key metrics: P/E, P/B and equity ratio

Selected fundamental metrics for Dollar Tree Inc.

MetricStockSector
P/E ratio21.122.8
P/B ratio7.22.6
Return on equity (ROE)34.2%12.3%
Equity ratio27.9%42.0%
Debt-to-equity (D/E)1.880.67
Dividend yield0.0%2.6%

Similar stocks in Consumer Defensive

How comparable stocks in the same sector score in the StockScorer model.

SymbolCompanyRating
DLTRDollar Tree Incthis page
DGDollar General CorporationLow3.6
BJBJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inclocked
TGTTarget CorporationLow1.8
DMART.NSAvenue Supermarts Limitedlocked
7532.TPan Pacific International Holdings Corplocked

Frequently asked questions about Dollar Tree Inc stock

How does Dollar Tree Inc stock (DLTR) score in the StockScorer model?
Dollar Tree Inc stock reaches a StockScorer score of 4.5 out of 10, which is a low match with the rule-based strategies. 3 out of 7 flagship profile rules are met.
What is Dollar Tree Inc's P/E ratio?
Dollar Tree Inc's P/E ratio is 21.1. The Consumer Defensive sector median is 22.8.
What sector is Dollar Tree Inc in?
Dollar Tree Inc is assigned to the Consumer Defensive sector. Its rank within the sector is 49.0 out of 100: 100 means the stock leads its peer group of large and mid-cap sector stocks in every measured area.

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