Stock · LLY · Healthcare

Eli Lilly and Company

United States · Large Cap · listed since 1978 · Revenue 12 mo. $79.7B

Price as of 11/06/2026

StockScorer score
6.4
of 10 7 of 11 points High Match To the score
Price
$1,354.00
1 Y +34.8%
Market cap
$1.2T
Phase
Growth
revenue growing, core business profitable
Revenue +31.7% a year (3 years)EBIT margin 45.6%Payout 60.0% of operating cash flow

Summary

Eli Lilly and Company is around the middle of the Healthcare sector overall

58.5 of 100

Mean of the six area values. Each area value is the mean of the stock's ranks among the companies in its sector. 50 is the middle of the sector, not a share of companies beaten.

Analysis

What the price requires

The price requires more than 30% FCF growth a year, for 10 years.

If free cash flow stays at €8.1B (2025), it supports €89.5B. The remaining €997.9B of the market value assume it grows more than 30% a year for 10 years and not at all afterwards.

Required FCF growth per year

over 30%

no growth afterwards

Market value breakdown€1.1T market value, price as of 11/06/2026

€89.5B without growth
€997.9B priced-in growth
  • 5 yrs achieved −12.8%
  • 10 yrs achieved 1.4%
  • priced in above 30%

Valuation against its own history

Price to operating cash flow 43.1×, within its usual range.

Middle half of 20 quarters: 38.8× to 80.7×, median 53.0×.

Measures only against its own past, not against what the company is worth. Price as of 11/06/2026.

1 sign supports the expectation, 1 speaks against it.

What supports it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • High, stable gross margin median 78.0%, range 10.0 pp (10 years)

What speaks against it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Expectation above the company's own record priced in more than 30%, achieved at most 1.4%

AI summary of the 2025 annual report

The business of Eli Lilly and Company according to its report

A language model selected and condensed statements from the report. Each statement carries a verbatim quote. The selection is not complete and shows the state of the report. It gives no rating and does not feed into the score.

Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 12/31/2025, filed 02/12/2026. Open the report at the SEC

Business model according to the report

  • The company discovers, develops, manufactures and markets products in one business segment.

    Quote
    We discover, develop, manufacture, and market products in a single business segment
  • In certain jurisdictions, LillyDirect, a direct-to-patient digital health care platform, delivers select Lilly medicines that third-party pharmacies dispense to patients.

    Quote
    In certain jurisdictions, we utilize LillyDirect, our direct-to-patient digital health care platform, to provide delivery of select Lilly medicines dispensed by third-party pharmacies to patients.
  • Anti-obesity medicines make up a significant portion of the company's revenues.

    Quote
    Our anti-obesity medicines comprise a significant portion of our revenues
  • The company's products are sold in approximately 90 countries.

    Quote
    Our products are sold in approximately 90 countries.

Customers according to the report

  • Account managers serve wholesalers, pharmacy benefit managers, insurers, employers, hospitals and certain retail pharmacies.

    Quote
    Our account managers service wholesalers, pharmacy benefit managers, insurers, plan sponsors, employers, managed care organizations, group purchasing organizations, government and long-term care institutions, hospitals, and certain retail pharmacies.
  • Patients who pay themselves buy through LillyDirect, and these sales made up a growing part of the business in 2025.

    Quote
    In addition, patient self-pay sales through LillyDirect represented a growing portion of our business in 2025

Competition according to the report

  • The company's products compete worldwide with many other pharmaceutical products in highly competitive markets.

    Quote
    Our products compete globally with many other pharmaceutical products in highly competitive markets.
  • Important factors in competition include effectiveness, safety, availability, ease of use, patient preference, price, and payer coverage and reimbursement rates.

    Quote
    Important competitive factors include effectiveness, safety, availability, ease of use, patient preference, and overall experience; formulary placement, price, payer coverage and reimbursement rates, and demonstrated cost-effectiveness
  • Generic medicines and biosimilars can pose major competitive challenges to the company's business.

    Quote
    Generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars can pose major competitive challenges to our business.

Risks according to the report

  • Trulicity will lose significant patent and remaining data protection in the next few years.

    Quote
    For example, Trulicity will lose significant patent and remaining data protections in the next few years.
  • Mounjaro and Zepbound accounted for 56 percent of the company's total revenues in 2025.

    Quote
    In particular, Mounjaro and Zepbound accounted for 56 percent of our total revenues in 2025
  • In August 2023, HHS selected Jardiance for government-set prices in Medicare, effective from 2026, at a significant discount.

    Quote
    In August 2023, HHS selected Jardiance, which is part of our collaboration with Boehringer Ingelheim, as one of the first ten medicines subject to government-set prices in Medicare (effective beginning in 2026) at a significant discount
  • Changes to the 340B program or the Medicaid programs could have a material adverse impact on the business.

    Quote
    Changes to the 340B program or the Medicaid programs could have a material adverse impact on our business.
  • The company continues to see counterfeit, misbranded, adulterated and mass-compounded incretin drugs sold in the U.S. and other markets.

    Quote
    We continue to see the production, marketing, and sale of counterfeit, misbranded, adulterated, and mass-compounded incretins in the U.S. and other markets.

Since the last quarter

Q1 → Q2 2026

Mostly better than the previous quarter: 4 of 6 changes for the better.

  • Revenue, 12 mo.$72.2B → $79.7B+10.3%better
  • FCF, 12 mo.$13.6B → $20.1B+47.7%better
  • EBIT margin47.3% → 49.7%+2.4 ppbetter
  • FCF margin18.8% → 25.2%+6.4 ppbetter
  • Net debt$38.2B → $46.0B+20.4%worse
  • Return on equity81.0% → 78.8%−2.2 ppworse

2 more unchanged: Gross margin, Shares outstanding

Derivation

How the sector comparison is derived

Each area value is the average of its metrics' ranks within the sector (0 to 100, 50 is the middle). For metrics where lower is better, the rank is mirrored. The overall value is the average of the area values.

Price as of 11/06/2026.

Profitability82.2above the middleEarns more than the sector: Return on equity 77.78%, sector 11.52%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Return on equity77.78%11.52%Rank 98
Return on capital (Greenblatt)65.88%32.55%Rank 80
EBIT margin45.56%18.31%Rank 96
FCF margin13.77%14.12%Rank 47
Gross margin83.04%60.99%Rank 90
Growth92.7above the middleGrows faster than the sector: Revenue growth, 1 year 44.70%, sector 8.04%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Revenue growth, 1 year44.70%8.04%Rank 94
Earnings growth, 3 years per year51.79%5.44%Rank 92
Earnings growth, 5 years per year28.84%7.00%Rank 92
Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings)12.03%3.66%Rank 94
Valuation12.6below the middleValued higher than the sector: EV/sales 19.13, sector 4.03.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Earnings yield1.70%2.90%Rank 21
FCF yield0.74%3.63%Rank 11
EV/saleslower is better19.134.03Rank 5
EV/EBITlower is better41.9921.73Rank 13
Momentum71.6above the middleShare price doing better than the sector: Share price, 6 months 43.24%, sector 24.27%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Share price, 1 year34.83%8.66%Rank 80
Share price, 6 months43.24%24.27%Rank 81
Share price, 3 months19.32%15.42%Rank 64
Distance from 52-week high−4.51%−7.35%Rank 62
Quality64.4above the middleQuality above the sector: Dividend streak in years 53, sector 10.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Accruals (Sloan)lower is better15.48%0.30%Rank 5
Change in share countlower is better−0.67%0.00%Rank 62
Dividend streak in years5310Rank 99
Price reaction to results, market-adjusted6.68%0.05%Rank 91
Balance sheet & risk27.8below the middleMore risk than the sector: Debt to equity 1.60, sector 0.48.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Equity ratio23.59%48.40%Rank 13
Net debt/EBITDAlower is better1.111.11Rank 50
Debt to equitylower is better1.600.48Rank 12
Volatility, 1 yearlower is better35.47%31.42%Rank 37

Ten years in figures

Revenue from $21.2B (2016) to $65.2B (2025), 13.3% a year.

Fiscal years, amounts in USD
YearRevenue, $BEBIT marginFCF, $BSharesNet debt, $B
201621.218.2%3.81.10B5.7
201720.021.3%3.51.05B7.1
201821.528.0%2.51.03B3.0
201922.326.9%3.5958M13.5
202024.529.4%4.5957M12.9
202128.328.0%5.4954M13.1
202228.530.3%4.6950M14.2
202334.131.6%−3.2903M22.4
202445.037.8%3.8904M30.4
202565.245.6%9.0898M35.3
6.4 / 10High MatchStockScorer score7 of 11 points

5 of 7 StockScorer Score rules met · How the score is built

Eli Lilly and Company mainly meets criteria in the Growth category. Result from 18 strategies checked.

This stock · Profitability: 67%This stock · Growth: 100%This stock · Valuation: 0%This stock · Momentum: 100%Median of all stocks · Profitability: 33%Median of all stocks · Growth: 0%Median of all stocks · Valuation: 0%Median of all stocks · Momentum: 0%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationMomentumThis stockMedian of all stocks

How Eli Lilly and Company's score is built

Eli Lilly and Company is rated here with the StockScorer Score strategy, the flagship rule set. It compares return and cash-flow metrics with the median of the company's own sector and checks growth and price trend.

5 of 7 rules met

7 of 11 points

  1. Free cash flow yield above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  2. Return on capital (Greenblatt ROC) above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  3. Return on equity above the sector medianmet1 of 1 point
  4. Free cash flow margin above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  5. Revenue growth above 15%met2 of 2 points
  6. 3-year earnings growth above 12% p.a.met1 of 1 point
  7. 12-month share price more than 20 percentage points ahead of the marketmet1 of 1 point
  8. Exclusion: financial and real estate stocksdoes not apply

Detail data

How does Eli Lilly and Company stock perform across 18 strategies?

Excerpt from 18 strategies checked. The full evaluation is visible after a free sign-up.

12 more strategies locked

With a free account, you can see the match across all strategies checked in one complete overview.

  • High-Growth / Rule of 40
  • Altman Z-Score: Stress Test
  • Earnings Quality: Accrual Check (Sloan)
  • Defensive: Low Volatility
  • Levermann Strategy (13 Criteria)
  • Dividend Aristocrats & Continuity
  • Balanced GARP
  • Magic Formula: Value + Quality
  • Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value
  • PEG Strategy (inspired by Peter Lynch)
  • Trending Value: Value + Momentum
  • Undervalued Stocks: Multi-Factor Check

Eli Lilly and Company key metrics: P/E, P/B and equity ratio

Selected fundamental metrics for Eli Lilly and Company.

MetricStockSector
P/E ratio58.930.0
P/B ratio45.84.8
Return on equity (ROE)77.8%11.5%
Equity ratio23.6%48.4%
Debt-to-equity (D/E)1.600.48
Dividend yield0.5%1.3%

Similar stocks in Healthcare

How comparable stocks in the same sector score in the StockScorer model.

SymbolCompanyRating
LLYEli Lilly and Companythis page
JNJJohnson & JohnsonHigh6.4
ABBVAbbVie IncMedium5.5
MRKMerck & Company IncMedium5.5
ROP.SWRoche Holding AGlocked
NOVN.SWNovartis AGlocked

Frequently asked questions about Eli Lilly and Company stock

How does Eli Lilly and Company stock (LLY) score in the StockScorer model?
Eli Lilly and Company stock reaches a StockScorer score of 6.4 out of 10, which is a high match with the rule-based strategies. 5 out of 7 flagship profile rules are met.
What is Eli Lilly and Company's P/E ratio?
Eli Lilly and Company's P/E ratio is 58.9. The Healthcare sector median is 30.0.
What sector is Eli Lilly and Company in?
Eli Lilly and Company is assigned to the Healthcare sector. Its rank within the sector is 58.5 out of 100: 100 means the stock leads its peer group of large and mid-cap sector stocks in every measured area.

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