Stock · HD · Consumer Cyclical

The Home Depot Inc

United States · Large Cap · listed since 1981 · Revenue 12 mo. $169.2B

Price as of 11/06/2026

StockScorer score
2.7
of 10 3 of 11 points Low Match To the score
Price
$343.47
1 Y −16.5%
Market cap
$330.7B
Phase
Payout
core business profitable, at least half of operating cash flow goes to shareholders
Revenue +1.5% a year (3 years)EBIT margin 12.7%Payout 54.8% of operating cash flow

Summary

The Home Depot Inc is around the middle of the Consumer Cyclical sector overall

44.9 of 100

Mean of the six area values. Each area value is the mean of the stock's ranks among the companies in its sector. 50 is the middle of the sector, not a share of companies beaten.

Analysis

What the price requires

The price requires 12.0% FCF growth a year, more than achieved over the last 5 and 10 years.

If free cash flow stays at €11.3B (2026), it supports €126.1B. The remaining €170.7B of the market value assume it grows 12.0% a year for 10 years and not at all afterwards.

Required FCF growth per year

12.0%

no growth afterwards

Market value breakdown€296.7B market value, price as of 11/06/2026

€126.1B without growth
€170.7B priced-in growth
  • 5 yrs achieved 3.9%
  • 10 yrs achieved 7.6%
  • priced in 12.0%

Valuation against its own history

Price to operating cash flow 18.2×, below its usual range.

Middle half of 20 quarters: 18.3× to 20.3×, median 19.5×.

Measures only against its own past, not against what the company is worth. Price as of 11/06/2026.

3 signs support the expectation, 3 speak against it.

What supports it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • High return on capital every year ROCE at least 28.8% (10 years)
  • Low capital needs capex median 2.1% of revenue (10 years)
  • Steady FCF margin at least 7.3%, range 5.1 pp (10 years)

What speaks against it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Expectation above the company's own record priced in 12.0%, achieved at most 7.6%
  • High leverage debt to equity 5.10
  • EBIT margin falling for three quarters −0.5 pp over the last four reports

AI summary of the 2026 annual report

The business of The Home Depot Inc according to its report

A language model selected and condensed statements from the report. Each statement carries a verbatim quote. The selection is not complete and shows the state of the report. It gives no rating and does not feed into the score.

Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 02/01/2026, filed 03/18/2026. Open the report at the SEC

Business model according to the report

  • The company sells home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, décor products and facilities MRO products, in stores and online.

    Quote
    We offer our customers a wide assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, décor products, and facilities MRO products, in stores and online.
  • The company's online product offerings add to what its stores carry and act as an extended aisle.

    Quote
    Our online product offerings complement our stores by serving as an extended aisle.
  • The company also offers services, including home improvement installation and tool and equipment rental.

    Quote
    We also provide a number of services, including home improvement installation services, and tool and equipment rental.
  • The acquisition of GMS by SRS in fiscal 2025 added specialty interior building products, such as wallboard, ceilings and steel framing, for residential and commercial projects.

    Quote
    The acquisition of GMS by SRS in fiscal 2025 further expanded our ability to serve Pros by adding specialty interior building products such as wallboard, ceilings, steel framing and complementary products for residential and commercial projects.

Customers according to the report

  • DIFM customers are usually homeowners who hire Pros to complete their projects or installations.

    Quote
    Intersecting our DIY customers and our Pros are our DIFM customers. These customers are typically homeowners who use Pros to complete their projects or installations.
  • The company also sells MRO products and related services to operators of multifamily, hospitality, healthcare and government housing facilities, among others, mainly through HD Supply.

    Quote
    We also provide MRO products and related value-added services to multifamily, hospitality, healthcare, and government housing facilities, among others, primarily through our subsidiary HD Supply.
  • The company bought SRS in fiscal 2024, and SRS sells products to specialty trade roofers, landscapers and pool contractors.

    Quote
    In fiscal 2024, we acquired SRS, which sells products to specialty trade roofers, landscapers, and pool contractors.

Competition according to the report

  • In stores and online, the company competes mainly on customer experience, price, quality, product availability, range and innovation, and delivery options.

    Quote
    Both in-store and online, we compete primarily based on customer experience; price; quality; product availability, assortment, and innovation; and delivery options and capabilities.
  • Competitors range from traditional store-based retailers to multichannel and purely online ones. They include other home improvement retailers, hardware stores of all sizes, building materials suppliers and lumber yards.

    Quote
    These competitors range from traditional brick-and-mortar, to multichannel, to exclusively online, and they include a number of other home improvement retailers; local, regional and national hardware stores; electrical, plumbing and building materials supply houses; and lumber yards.
  • Online and digital tools, including AI tools, make it easier for new competitors to enter, make prices easier to compare and increase competition.

    Quote
    Online and other digital capabilities, as well as AI tools, facilitate competitive entry, price transparency, and comparison shopping, increasing the level of competition we face.

Risks according to the report

  • For example, high interest rates throughout fiscal 2025 and a significant rise in home prices in recent years have affected housing affordability.

    Quote
    For instance, the high interest rate environment that persisted throughout fiscal 2025 and the significant increase in home prices in recent years have impacted housing affordability.
  • Major changes in tax or trade policy, tariffs or trade relations could significantly harm costs, demand and profit on retail products the company sources outside the U.S., including from Mexico, Canada and China.

    Quote
    For the retail products we source, directly or indirectly, outside of the U.S., including Mexico, Canada and China, major changes in tax or trade policies, tariffs or trade relations could significantly adversely impact the cost of, demand for, and profitability of retail product sales in our U.S. or other locations.
  • Proprietary products bring certain increased risks, including regulatory, product liability, intellectual property, supplier relations and reputation risks.

    Quote
    Our proprietary products subject us to certain increased risks, including regulatory, product liability, intellectual property, supplier relations, and reputational risks.
  • If the company cannot manage its installation services business effectively, it could lose sales, face fines or lawsuits, suffer reputational damage or lose its general contractor licenses.

    Quote
    If we are unable to effectively manage our installation services business, we could lose sales and be subject to fines, lawsuits, reputational damage or the loss of our general contractor licenses.

Since the last quarter

Q2 → Q3 2026

A mixed quarter: 1 figure better, 1 worse.

  • FCF, 12 mo.$14.3B → $15.1B+5.5%better
  • Return on equity101.0% → 85.6%−15.4 ppworse

6 more unchanged: Revenue, 12 mo., Gross margin, EBIT margin, FCF margin, Net debt, Shares outstanding

Derivation

How the sector comparison is derived

Each area value is the average of its metrics' ranks within the sector (0 to 100, 50 is the middle). For metrics where lower is better, the rank is mirrored. The overall value is the average of the area values.

Price as of 11/06/2026.

Profitability67.7above the middleEarns more than the sector: Return on equity 110.48%, sector 11.07%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Return on equity110.48%11.07%Rank 99
Return on capital (Greenblatt)53.30%17.91%Rank 87
EBIT margin12.68%10.89%Rank 57
FCF margin7.68%8.07%Rank 48
Gross margin33.32%34.00%Rank 48
Growth28.5below the middleGrows more slowly than the sector: Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings) 2.23%, sector 4.34%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Revenue growth, 1 year3.24%5.10%Rank 38
Earnings growth, 3 years per year−5.24%8.34%Rank 25
Earnings growth, 5 years per year3.53%15.10%Rank 29
Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings)2.23%4.34%Rank 22
Valuation44.5around the middleValued about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Earnings yield4.13%4.32%Rank 48
FCF yield3.82%4.17%Rank 46
EV/saleslower is better2.401.95Rank 41
EV/EBITlower is better18.8916.88Rank 43
Momentum50.3around the middleShare price moving about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Share price, 1 year−16.54%−4.35%Rank 32
Share price, 6 months8.68%3.63%Rank 64
Share price, 3 months1.71%2.92%Rank 46
Distance from 52-week high−12.17%−15.83%Rank 59
Quality47.6around the middleQuality about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Accruals (Sloan)lower is better6.77%0.39%Rank 15
Change in share countlower is better0.40%−0.37%Rank 19
Dividend streak in years374Rank 99
Price reaction to results, market-adjusted0.69%0.16%Rank 57
Balance sheet & risk30.8below the middleMore risk than the sector: Debt to equity 5.10, sector 0.49.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Equity ratio12.19%40.59%Rank 11
Net debt/EBITDAlower is better2.540.99Rank 29
Debt to equitylower is better5.100.49Rank 5
Volatility, 1 yearlower is better27.13%33.42%Rank 79

Ten years in figures

Revenue from $94.6B (2017) to $164.7B (2026), 6.4% a year.

Fiscal years, amounts in USD
YearRevenue, $BEBIT marginFCF, $BSharesNet debt, $B
201794.614.2%8.21.23B21.1
2018100.914.6%10.11.18B23.4
2019108.214.4%10.71.14B27.4
2020110.214.4%11.01.10B35.2
2021132.113.8%16.41.08B35.5
2022151.215.2%14.01.06B43.9
2023157.415.3%11.51.03B47.6
2024152.714.2%17.91.00B48.5
2025159.513.5%16.3993M60.6
2026164.712.7%12.6997M64.0
2.7 / 10Low MatchStockScorer score3 of 11 points

2 of 7 StockScorer Score rules met · How the score is built

The Home Depot Inc mainly meets criteria in the Profitability category. Result from 18 strategies checked.

This stock · Profitability: 67%This stock · Growth: 0%This stock · Valuation: 0%This stock · Momentum: 0%Median of all stocks · Profitability: 33%Median of all stocks · Growth: 0%Median of all stocks · Valuation: 0%Median of all stocks · Momentum: 0%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationMomentumThis stockMedian of all stocks

How The Home Depot Inc's score is built

The Home Depot Inc is rated here with the StockScorer Score strategy, the flagship rule set. It compares return and cash-flow metrics with the median of the company's own sector and checks growth and price trend.

2 of 7 rules met

3 of 11 points

  1. Free cash flow yield above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  2. Return on capital (Greenblatt ROC) above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  3. Return on equity above the sector medianmet1 of 1 point
  4. Free cash flow margin above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  5. Revenue growth above 15%not met0 of 2 points
  6. 3-year earnings growth above 12% p.a.not met0 of 1 point
  7. 12-month share price more than 20 percentage points ahead of the marketnot met0 of 1 point
  8. Exclusion: financial and real estate stocksdoes not apply

Detail data

How does The Home Depot Inc stock perform across 18 strategies?

Excerpt from 18 strategies checked. The full evaluation is visible after a free sign-up.

12 more strategies locked

With a free account, you can see the match across all strategies checked in one complete overview.

  • Moat Quality
  • Magic Formula: Value + Quality
  • StockScorer Score
  • Dividend Aristocrats & Continuity
  • Growth Momentum (CAN SLIM principle)
  • Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value
  • Balanced GARP
  • High-Growth / Rule of 40
  • Levermann Strategy (13 Criteria)
  • PEG Strategy (inspired by Peter Lynch)
  • Trending Value: Value + Momentum
  • Undervalued Stocks: Multi-Factor Check

The Home Depot Inc key metrics: P/E, P/B and equity ratio

Selected fundamental metrics for The Home Depot Inc.

MetricStockSector
P/E ratio24.221.6
P/B ratio26.72.4
Return on equity (ROE)110.5%11.1%
Equity ratio12.2%40.6%
Debt-to-equity (D/E)5.100.49
Dividend yield2.7%2.2%

Similar stocks in Consumer Cyclical

How comparable stocks in the same sector score in the StockScorer model.

SymbolCompanyRating
HDThe Home Depot Incthis page
LOWLowe's Companies IncMedium5.5
WES.AXWesfarmers Ltdlocked
KGF.LKingfisher PLClocked
HBH.DEHornbach Holding Vz.locked
MCDMcDonald’s Corporationlocked

Frequently asked questions about The Home Depot Inc stock

How does The Home Depot Inc stock (HD) score in the StockScorer model?
The Home Depot Inc stock reaches a StockScorer score of 2.7 out of 10, which is a low match with the rule-based strategies. 2 out of 7 flagship profile rules are met.
What is The Home Depot Inc's P/E ratio?
The Home Depot Inc's P/E ratio is 24.2. The Consumer Cyclical sector median is 21.6.
What sector is The Home Depot Inc in?
The Home Depot Inc is assigned to the Consumer Cyclical sector. Its rank within the sector is 44.9 out of 100: 100 means the stock leads its peer group of large and mid-cap sector stocks in every measured area.

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