New · 16,265 stocks are re-scored daily. The score updates automatically.
Strategy profile

Defensive: Low Volatility – Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

Boring beats spectacular: low-volatility stocks historically delivered more risk-adjusted return. This screen finds them automatically.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

✓ Refreshed daily✓ Rule-based: no black box✓ Fully customisable
Total return in the backtestAvg. +7.6 % p.a.
+108.4 %

MSCI World over the same period: +240.1 %

Start: Strategy 100Q2 2016: Strategy 100Q3 2016: Strategy 106Q4 2016: Strategy 107Q1 2017: Strategy 115Q2 2017: Strategy 112Q3 2017: Strategy 108Q4 2017: Strategy 112Q1 2018: Strategy 106Q2 2018: Strategy 113Q3 2018: Strategy 123Q4 2018: Strategy 120Q1 2019: Strategy 137Q2 2019: Strategy 144Q3 2019: Strategy 153Q4 2019: Strategy 156Q1 2020: Strategy 130Q2 2020: Strategy 141Q3 2020: Strategy 145Q4 2020: Strategy 141Q1 2021: Strategy 148Q2 2021: Strategy 149Q3 2021: Strategy 154Q4 2021: Strategy 169Q1 2022: Strategy 171Q2 2022: Strategy 166Q3 2022: Strategy 163Q4 2022: Strategy 164Q1 2023: Strategy 168Q2 2023: Strategy 174Q3 2023: Strategy 170Q4 2023: Strategy 172Q1 2024: Strategy 192Q2 2024: Strategy 186Q3 2024: Strategy 194Q4 2024: Strategy 193Q1 2025: Strategy 199Q2 2025: Strategy 190Q3 2025: Strategy 188Q4 2025: Strategy 191Q1 2026: Strategy 205Q2 2026: Strategy 20881150220290359StartQ1 2021Q1 2026Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

+7.6 %Return p.a. (backtest)
-5.4 %vs. MSCI World p.a.
16,265Stocks analysed
SmallMidLargeCap classes
How the profile stands today

What the profile looks like today

As of 09/30/2026
1,298High
5,956Medium
9,011Low
Classification in the universe
High 8 %Medium 37 %Low 55 %
Distribution of scores in the market
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7
Score distribution as a data table
ScoreNumber of stocks
-31,495
-22,752
-12,400
02,364
+12,263
+22,355
+31,338
+4428
+5519
+6305
+746
Countries of the high-match stocks
JP 25%GB 10%TH 10%SE 10%TW 10%Other 35%
How rules turn into a score

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, for example ROE above 15 %.

02
Points & weighting

You decide how much each rule counts: from +1 to +3 or −1 to −3.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. That gives three classes: high, medium, low match.

Low match
< 1 points
Medium match
1 – 3 points
High match
≥ 4 points

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

What the strategy measures a stock against

What is behind this strategy?

Profile of a stock with a high match
50%100%High match · Profitability: 50%High match · Quality: 100%High match · Balance sheet & risk: 50%Market average · Profitability: 32%Market average · Quality: 18%Market average · Balance sheet & risk: 33%ProfitabilityQualityBalance sheet & riskHigh matchMarket average
High matchMarket average
01
How much does the stock swing?

Annualised 1-year volatility measures the swing itself: below 20% clearly defensive (+4), above 40% highly volatile (−2).

02
Can the balance sheet weather crises?

An equity ratio above 40% provides the buffer defensive investors look for.

03
Does it pay out reliably?

A dividend uncut for at least five years demonstrates plannable cash flows.

04
Does it earn money consistently?

Return on equity above 10% with positive earnings; a loss year costs a point.

Excerpt from the rule profile

These exact rules run over every stock daily.

4 of 7 rules
Group:OR
+4 pts
Volatility (1 year)isless than20
At least one of these conditions must be met
Group:OR
+1 pts
At least one of these conditions must be met
Group:OR
−2 pts
Volatility (1 year)isgreater than40
At least one of these conditions must be met
Equity Ratioisgreater than40+1 pts
+ 3 more rules in the profile

After a free sign-up: the full profile in the rule editor to copy, adjust thresholds and save as your own starting profile.

See & copy all rules
What the backtest shows, and what it does not

How has the profile performed?

Strategy: +108.4%Benchmark (MSCI World): +240.1%
Start: Strategy 100Q2 2016: Strategy 100Q3 2016: Strategy 106Q4 2016: Strategy 107Q1 2017: Strategy 115Q2 2017: Strategy 112Q3 2017: Strategy 108Q4 2017: Strategy 112Q1 2018: Strategy 106Q2 2018: Strategy 113Q3 2018: Strategy 123Q4 2018: Strategy 120Q1 2019: Strategy 137Q2 2019: Strategy 144Q3 2019: Strategy 153Q4 2019: Strategy 156Q1 2020: Strategy 130Q2 2020: Strategy 141Q3 2020: Strategy 145Q4 2020: Strategy 141Q1 2021: Strategy 148Q2 2021: Strategy 149Q3 2021: Strategy 154Q4 2021: Strategy 169Q1 2022: Strategy 171Q2 2022: Strategy 166Q3 2022: Strategy 163Q4 2022: Strategy 164Q1 2023: Strategy 168Q2 2023: Strategy 174Q3 2023: Strategy 170Q4 2023: Strategy 172Q1 2024: Strategy 192Q2 2024: Strategy 186Q3 2024: Strategy 194Q4 2024: Strategy 193Q1 2025: Strategy 199Q2 2025: Strategy 190Q3 2025: Strategy 188Q4 2025: Strategy 191Q1 2026: Strategy 205Q2 2026: Strategy 20881150220290359StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q1 2026Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

The backtest shows a total return of +108.4%. The MSCI World reaches +240.1% over the same period.

+7.6%Return p.a.
+13.0%Benchmark p.a.
-16.4%Largest decline
+0.71Sharpe Ratio

Survivorship-free since June 30, 2015: the index composition is applied point-in-time.

Historical period, quarterly rebalancing, no taxes or fees. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The way of working this profile suits

Who is this strategy for?

For safety-oriented investors, retirees and anyone who copes badly with deep drawdowns. The strategy deliberately trades upside for stability: in strong bull markets it typically lags the market.

Adopt, customise & track this strategy
What people usually ask before starting

Frequently asked questions

Why should low-volatility stocks perform better?
Risk-adjusted, they historically did: the low-volatility anomaly. Explanations include investors systematically overpaying for spectacular story stocks, and defensive names losing less in crises, letting compounding work with fewer interruptions.
Why does volatility matter more than beta now?
Because annualised 1-year volatility is closer to the methodology of the S&P/MSCI minimum-volatility indices: it measures pure price swing, while beta measures co-movement with the market. Since the fidelity round, beta is only a fallback when price history is too short for a volatility calculation; if both are missing, the classification stays neutral rather than assuming a swing.
Is this a recommendation to act?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I adjust the beta thresholds?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and modify it in the rule editor: beta boundaries, quality checks and point values are fully configurable.

Method & Criteria

The low-volatility anomaly is one of the best-documented capital-market observations: stocks with low price swings delivered higher risk-adjusted returns over decades than highly volatile names, the opposite of what classic theory (more risk = more return) would predict. A common explanation: investors systematically overpay for lottery-like stocks with spectacular upside and shun the boring. This strategy turns that around: since the fidelity round, the core criterion is annualised 252-day volatility, the same measure used by the S&P and MSCI minimum-volatility indices, rather than beta. Beta now serves only as a stand-in when the price history is too short to compute volatility. That is flanked by a defensive equity ratio, a dividend uncut for years and stable profitability, though as a StockScorer construction with no direct precedent in a low-volatility index: the fundamental rules are inspired by the idea of defensive quality, not part of the original methodology.

How does the low-volatility screen work?

Annualised 1-year volatility is the core: below 20% (the stock swings clearly less than the market) earns +4 points, 20 to 28% still +1. Above 40% costs 2 points: here the volatility hurdle is clearly missed. If the price history is too short to compute volatility, beta steps in instead (below 0.8 or above 1.3, with the same point values); if both are missing, the classification stays neutral, since not scoreable is not a risk finding.

Three further checks complete the picture, but are a StockScorer construction with no precedent in a true low-volatility index: equity ratio above 40% (+1), dividend uncut for at least five years (+1) and stable profitability: return on equity above 10% with positive net income (+1); a loss year costs a point. The upper threshold is a uniform 4 points across all size classes and, since the fidelity round, reachable only via the volatility hurdle: a low beta alone (absent volatility data) no longer suffices at +2, and the fundamental rules alone certainly do not either.

The criteria at a glance

1Y vola < 20% (or, as a fallback, beta < 0.8): clearly less volatile than the market (+4). 1Y vola 20–28% (or beta 0.8–1.0): moderately defensive (+1). 1Y vola > 40% (or beta > 1.3): highly volatile (−2).

Equity ratio > 40%: defensive balance sheet (+1).

Dividend uncut for ≥ 5 years: reliable payout (+1).

ROE > 10% with positive earnings: stable profitability (+1). Net income negative: loss year (−1).

Strengths, limits and deviations from the original

The strength lies in drawdown behaviour: defensive portfolios typically lose considerably less in corrections and have less to recover afterwards. That is the mathematical source of the anomaly: losing 20% requires a 25% recovery; losing 40% requires 67%.

Fidelity update as of 23 August 2026: annualised 252-day volatility replaces beta as the core metric, closer to the methodology of the S&P/MSCI minimum-volatility indices; beta remains only a fallback when price history is missing. The BUY threshold is set so it is reachable only via the volatility hurdle itself, no longer via the fundamental rules alone.

The three fundamental rules (balance sheet, dividend, profitability) are explicitly a StockScorer construction, inspired by the idea of defensive quality, not part of a low-volatility index. In strong bull markets the strategy lags, that is not a flaw but the price of stability. In the backtest the volatility, beta and dividend-streak rules are only partially scoreable depending on historical data availability; the rule-coverage panel discloses this transparently.

Who is this strategy for?

For investors who care more about maximum drawdown than the last percent of return, as the defensive core of a portfolio or as a calming complement to aggressive strategies.