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Strategy profile

Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value (Carlisle): Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

What would an acquirer pay for the operating business? A single multiple decides: the cheaper, the more points. Automated across the entire market.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

Updated dailyRule-based, no black boxFully customisable
Strategy profile

Once enough history is available, the backtest chart for this strategy will appear here.

Methodology

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, for example ROE above 15 %.

02
Points & weighting

You decide how much each rule counts: from +1 to +3 or −1 to −3.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. Above the upper threshold: a high match with the profile.

Low matchMedium matchHigh match
low scorelower thresholdupper thresholdhigh score

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

The strategy

What is behind this strategy?

01
How cheap is the operating business?

EV/EBIT prices the operating result (net debt included), the way an acquirer calculates.

02
Is the stock among the cheapest in the market?

The cheapest valuation decile earns full points; the most expensive market half costs points.

03
Can the company survive the wait?

Positive free cash flow is the margin of safety until the market corrects the undervaluation.

04
Is balance-sheet distress looming?

Negative cash flow combined with high leverage is the most dangerous mix, and it costs points.

Top matches

Current Top Matches

After a free sign-up you see all metrics (P/E, ROE, margin …) per stock, including the live score history. We don't show individual metrics publicly for licensing reasons.
For whom

Who is this strategy for?

For committed value investors who want maximum simplicity: no quality factors, no momentum, just the price. The strategy deliberately buys the unloved. That takes patience and the willingness to invest against prevailing sentiment.

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is this the Acquirer's Multiple by Tobias Carlisle?
The strategy follows the principle Carlisle described: only the acquirer's-view valuation counts, complemented by a cash-flow margin of safety. StockScorer uses absolute point tiers instead of a universe ranking and has no affiliation with the trademark owner.
Why no quality factor like in the Two-Factor strategy?
The approach assumes that high returns on capital revert to the mean over time. Paying up for quality often means paying for a past that will not repeat. That is why only the price counts here.
Is this a buy recommendation?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I adjust the valuation tiers?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and modify it freely in the rule editor: tier boundaries, point values and the margin of safety are configurable.
Yannick HennDeveloper of StockScorer

Builds StockScorer as a solo developer. It started as a private tool for picking his own stocks and grew into a full scoring and backtesting platform. Focus: transparent, traceable rules instead of black-box ratings.

More on the methodology

Method & Criteria

EV/EBIT Deep Value is the radically simplified alternative to multi-layer value systems. The idea became known as the "Acquirer's Multiple" through Tobias Carlisle: high returns on capital attract competition and rarely last (mean reversion). What remains is the price. So only one thing counts here: enterprise value relative to operating earnings, i.e. EV/EBIT including all debt. A positive free cash flow serves as the margin of safety: the company must stay solvent long enough for the market to re-rate it.

How does EV/EBIT Deep Value work?

The core is a single multiple: enterprise value (market capitalisation plus net debt) divided by operating earnings. An EV/EBIT up to 5 (historically the cheapest tenth of the market) earns +3 points, up to 8 still +1. From an EV/EBIT of 12 the most expensive market half begins: −2 points. If the multiple is missing because EBIT is negative, that deliberately counts to the worst tier as well.

On top comes the margin of safety: positive free cash flow adds +1, while the combination of negative cash flow and a debt-to-equity ratio above 2 costs a point. The upper threshold is 2 points for large caps, 3 for mid caps and 4 for small caps: a small cap needs the cheapest decile plus intact cash flow.

The criteria at a glance

EV/EBIT 0–5: cheapest valuation decile (+3). EV/EBIT 5–8: very cheap (+1). EV/EBIT 8–12: neutral zone. From 12 or missing: most expensive market half or unprofitable (−2).

Free cash flow positive: margin of safety (+1). Free cash flow negative with leverage above 2: balance-sheet distress (−1).

Why EV/EBIT instead of P/E? The P/E ratio ignores capital structure: a highly leveraged company looks optically cheap. Enterprise value prices the debt in: the perspective of someone buying the whole business.

Strengths, limits and deviations from the original

The original ranks the entire universe by EV/EBIT and buys the cheapest percentiles. StockScorer translates the ranks into absolute tiers (decile and quartile proxies from historical market data). A stock's score depends only on its own numbers and stays fully traceable. In extreme market phases the absolute ladder can produce more or fewer hits than a true ranking.

The strength is also the weakness: without a quality filter, structurally sick companies land in the cheapest decile too. The strategy bets that the price discount overcompensates for that risk. If you want both, combine it with the 9-Point Balance-Sheet Check as a second filter.

Who is this strategy for?

For experienced value investors with a contrarian streak who prefer one maximally simple, disciplined rule over a complex factor blend.