Strategy profile

Magic Formula: Value + Quality | Current Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

Two questions, one score: how profitably does the capital work, and how cheaply can you get the operating business? Automated across the entire market.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

✓ Refreshed daily✓ Rule-based: no black box✓ Fully customisable
Total return in the backtest10 years to Q2 2026
Strategy
+109.6%
MSCI World
+240.1%

Gap to MSCI World: -130.5 percentage points total, -5.3 per year

81150220290359StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

+7.7%Return p.a. (backtest)
-5.3 ppvs. MSCI World p.a.
16,182Stocks analysed
SmallMidLargeCap classes
Classification of all stocks as of the latest data

What the profile looks like today

As of 11/15/2026
2,396High
797Medium
10,517Low
Classification in the universe
High 15%Medium 5%Low 65%Not rated 15%

Based on all 16,182 stocks with a score. Not rated are stocks that the profile does not classify because of a size limit or an exclusion rule.

Distribution of scores in the market
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7
+8
+9
+10
Score distribution as a data table
ScoreNumber of stocksHigh matchMedium matchLow matchNot rated
-45,554004,4921,062
-300000
-21,18900961228
-150900404105
01,222001,100122
+11,959001,795164
+26920068111
+31,797001,084713
+48100797013
+58878700017
+69979750022
+700000
+83823720010
+900000
+10184179005
Countries of the high-match stocks
US 15%CN 15%FR 10%IT 5%JP 5%Other 50%
How rules turn into a score

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, here for example “Quasi-monopoly returns (ROC ≥ 40%)”.

02
Points & weighting

In this profile, each rule that is met counts +1 to +5 or −2 points. Exclusion rules take a stock out of the rating regardless of its points: it is then not rated.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. That gives three classes: high, medium, low match.

Low match
< 4 points
Medium match
exactly 4 points
High match
≥ 5 points

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

What the strategy measures a stock against

What is behind this strategy?

01
How profitable is the capital?

Return on capital (ROC) measures what every invested euro earns operationally.

02
How cheap is the business?

EV/EBIT values operating profit from an acquirer's perspective, debts included.

03
Is the combination strong enough?

The upper score threshold sits at 5 points: a single top factor (+5) is enough if the other factor isn't negative. The ranking by score still favors strong combinations of both factors.

04
Where are the traps?

Value destroyers (ROC below 5%) and unprofitable or massively overpriced names take deductions.

Excerpt from the rule profile

These exact rules run over every stock daily.

4 of 9 rules
No financials or utilities (excluded as in the original)+0 ptsExclusion
Return on capital (Greenblatt)isat least40%+5 pts
Group:AND
+3 pts
Return on capital (Greenblatt)isat least25%
Return on capital (Greenblatt)isless than40%
All of these conditions must be met
Group:AND
+1 pts
Return on capital (Greenblatt)isat least15%
Return on capital (Greenblatt)isless than25%
All of these conditions must be met
+ 5 more rules in the profile

After signing up for free, you can copy the full profile in the rule editor, adjust its thresholds, and save it as your own starting profile.

See and copy all rules for free
What the backtest shows, and what it does not

How has the profile performed?

Strategy: +109.6%Benchmark (MSCI World): +240.1%
81150220290359StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

The backtest shows a total return of +109.6%. The MSCI World reaches +240.1% over the same period.

+7.7%Return p.a.
+13.0%Benchmark p.a.
-25.3%Largest decline
0.47Sharpe Ratio
Spread by start date

The same strategy with the same settings, started at every possible date. Each dot is a separate run over 5 years.

5%10%15%Start Q2 2016: 9.2% p.a., MSCI World 13.5% p.a.Start Q3 2016: 8.5% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q4 2016: 12.4% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2017: 7.9% p.a., MSCI World 11.8% p.a.Start Q2 2017: 11.1% p.a., MSCI World 9.9% p.a.Start Q3 2017: 7.0% p.a., MSCI World 9.4% p.a.Start Q4 2017: 3.7% p.a., MSCI World 8.7% p.a.Start Q1 2018: 10.0% p.a., MSCI World 11.0% p.a.Start Q2 2018: 8.9% p.a., MSCI World 10.6% p.a.Start Q3 2018: 7.1% p.a., MSCI World 9.5% p.a.Start Q4 2018: 14.2% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2019: 17.6% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q2 2019: 6.3% p.a., MSCI World 13.3% p.a.Start Q3 2019: 6.6% p.a., MSCI World 12.8% p.a.Start Q4 2019: 8.7% p.a., MSCI World 13.0% p.a.Start Q1 2020: 11.0% p.a., MSCI World 16.8% p.a.Start Q2 2020: 10.6% p.a., MSCI World 13.7% p.a.Start Q3 2020: 11.2% p.a., MSCI World 14.6% p.a.Start Q4 2020: 9.5% p.a., MSCI World 13.4% p.a.Start Q1 2021: 15.8% p.a., MSCI World 10.8% p.a.Start Q2 2021: 7.1% p.a., MSCI World 12.5% p.a.Q2 2016Q4 2018Q2 2021
  • Strategy
  • MSCI World
  • Median 9.2%
Median
9.2%
Mean
9.7%
Range
3.7% to 17.6%
Standard deviation
3.3 percentage points
Ahead of MSCI World
4 of 21 runs

The periods overlap heavily, neighbouring runs share almost all periods. The spread therefore looks smaller than it would for independent periods. Past results say nothing about future ones.

Strategy calculated without fees and taxes, dividends reinvested.

Point-in-time composition since June 30, 2009: each period uses the members at that time. Stocks that left the market early may be missing, which favours the result.

Historical period, quarterly rebalancing. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The way of working this profile suits

Who is this strategy for?

For investors with patience and discipline: the cheapest combinations of quality and price usually come with short-term bad news attached. If you trust the valuation anchor and deliberately ignore momentum, this is your lens.

Adopt this strategy for free
What people usually ask before starting

Frequently asked questions

Is this Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula?
The strategy follows the same two-factor principle (return on capital × earnings yield) that Greenblatt popularised as the “Magic Formula”, translated into absolute point tiers instead of a universe ranking, and with no affiliation to the trademark owner. The exclusion of financials and utilities and the ROC definition (EBIT / (net working capital + net fixed assets)) follow Greenblatt's own FAQ.
Why EV/EBIT instead of P/E?
The P/E ratio ignores debt: a heavily leveraged company looks optically cheap. EV/EBIT prices net debt in and values the operating result: the perspective of an acquirer who takes on the liabilities too.
Is this a recommendation to act?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I adjust the tiers?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and freely modify it in the rule editor: tier boundaries, point values and thresholds are all configurable.

Method & Criteria

The two-factor strategy hunts for the rare combination of above-average capital returns and an attractive valuation. The principle became famous as Joel Greenblatt's “Magic Formula”: good companies (high return on capital) at cheap prices (high earnings yield, i.e. low EV/EBIT) beat the market over time. StockScorer translates the original ranking into fixed point tiers: every stock is measured against absolute thresholds rather than the rest of the universe, keeping the score fully traceable at all times. As in the original, financials and utilities are excluded by an exclusion rule: Greenblatt's own FAQ cites the “unique nature of their financial accounting statements” as the reason.

How does the two-factor method work?

An exclusion rule first excludes financials and utilities: capital-return metrics are not meaningfully defined for them, matching the original. Then both factors are translated into disjoint point tiers. Capital returns: an ROC of 40% or more (quasi-monopoly competitive advantages) earns +5 points, 25–40% +3, 15–25% +1; below 5% or missing scores −2. Valuation: an EV/EBIT below 6.7 (equivalent to an earnings yield above 15%) earns +5, up to 10 +3, up to 16.7 +1; from 33.3 or with no multiple (negative EBIT) −2.

The sum of both ladders yields a score from −4 to +10. The upper threshold is 5 points, the same for every size class: the original has no size tiers. A single top factor (+5 points) is enough for a high match this way, as long as the other factor isn't negative. The ranking by score still favors strong combinations of both factors: it sorts higher-scoring stocks first into the top lists, while single-factor strength mainly fills otherwise open slots.

The criteria at a glance

No financials or utilities: exclusion rule, excluded as in the original ("unique nature of their financial accounting statements").

Return on capital (ROC): operating profit (EBIT) relative to tangible capital employed. Since the fidelity round, StockScorer uses Greenblatt's own definition, EBIT divided by net working capital plus net fixed assets (goodwill excluded), instead of the broader return-on-capital-employed measure.

EV/EBIT: enterprise value (market capitalisation plus net debt) divided by operating profit. Unlike the P/E ratio, this multiple cannot be dressed up with balance-sheet leverage.

Point tiers: +5/+3/+1 per factor, −2 for value destruction or massive overvaluation. A missing EV/EBIT deliberately counts as the worst tier. Negative EBIT produces no multiple.

Strengths, limits and deviations from the original

Greenblatt's original builds a relative ranking across the whole universe (“the 30 best ranks”). StockScorer instead uses absolute thresholds derived from historical deciles: a stock's score depends only on its own numbers, not on the composition of the universe. That is more transparent, though in extreme market phases it can produce more or fewer hits than a fixed ranking would.

Since the 23 August 2026 fidelity round, capital returns follow Greenblatt's own formula (EBIT divided by net working capital plus net fixed assets) instead of the previously used ROCE approximation: tangible capital excluding goodwill captures a business's capital intensity more precisely than a leverage-neutralised total-capital return. Greenblatt also recommends a one-year holding period per position (for tax reasons and to give mean reversion time to work); the cap thresholds are unified since the round, matching the original, which does not tier by size either.

The famous psychological hurdle remains: high-scoring stocks are frequently names with short-term bad news (mean reversion). The strategy demands looking systematically at exactly the moments when it feels uncomfortable.

Who is this strategy for?

For fundamental value investors who appreciate a clear, two-dimensional logic and can live with interim underperformance until the market recognises the mispricing.