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Strategy profile

PEG Strategy (Peter Lynch): Current Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

A P/E of 25 can be cheap, if earnings grow 30%. The PEG ratio makes growth stocks comparable, automated across the entire market.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

✓ Refreshed daily✓ Rule-based: no black box✓ Fully customisable
Total return in the backtestAvg. +17.3 % p.a.
+392.4 %

MSCI World over the same period: +240.1 %

Start: Strategy 100Q2 2016: Strategy 100Q3 2016: Strategy 120Q4 2016: Strategy 136Q1 2017: Strategy 145Q2 2017: Strategy 141Q3 2017: Strategy 145Q4 2017: Strategy 142Q1 2018: Strategy 136Q2 2018: Strategy 135Q3 2018: Strategy 146Q4 2018: Strategy 144Q1 2019: Strategy 161Q2 2019: Strategy 163Q3 2019: Strategy 184Q4 2019: Strategy 193Q1 2020: Strategy 156Q2 2020: Strategy 156Q3 2020: Strategy 161Q4 2020: Strategy 215Q1 2021: Strategy 231Q2 2021: Strategy 236Q3 2021: Strategy 247Q4 2021: Strategy 279Q1 2022: Strategy 284Q2 2022: Strategy 261Q3 2022: Strategy 260Q4 2022: Strategy 249Q1 2023: Strategy 231Q2 2023: Strategy 242Q3 2023: Strategy 278Q4 2023: Strategy 290Q1 2024: Strategy 287Q2 2024: Strategy 284Q3 2024: Strategy 298Q4 2024: Strategy 338Q1 2025: Strategy 332Q2 2025: Strategy 359Q3 2025: Strategy 391Q4 2025: Strategy 449Q1 2026: Strategy 485Q2 2026: Strategy 49269182296410524StartQ1 2021Q1 2026Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

+17.3 %Return p.a. (backtest)
+4.3 %vs. MSCI World p.a.
16,265Stocks analysed
SmallMidLargeCap classes
How the profile stands today

What the profile looks like today

As of 09/30/2026
1,158High
1,814Medium
13,293Low
Classification in the universe
High 7 %Medium 11 %Low 82 %
Distribution of scores in the market
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
Score distribution as a data table
ScoreNumber of stocks
-31,472
-22,791
-15,651
01,767
+1944
+2863
+31,218
+41,297
+5262
Countries of the high-match stocks
JP 25%AU 10%GB 10%CN 10%HK 5%Other 40%
How rules turn into a score

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, for example ROE above 15 %.

02
Points & weighting

You decide how much each rule counts: from +1 to +3 or −1 to −3.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. That gives three classes: high, medium, low match.

Low match
< 2 points
Medium match
2 – 3 points
High match
≥ 4 points

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

What the strategy measures a stock against

What is behind this strategy?

Profile of a stock with a high match
50%100%High match · Growth: 67%High match · Valuation: 33%High match · Balance sheet & risk: 100%Market average · Growth: 50%Market average · Valuation: 30%Market average · Balance sheet & risk: 36%GrowthValuationBalance sheet & riskHigh matchMarket average
High matchMarket average
01
Is the growth fairly priced?

The PEGY ratio (P/E / (growth + dividend yield)) grades from +3 (below 0.5) to −2 (above 2.0).

02
Can the balance sheet carry the growth?

A debt-to-equity ratio below 0.33 (one third) ensures the growth is not financed on credit.

03
Is demand actually real?

If inventories grow slower than sales, demand is pulling: the early indicator earns a point.

04
Are shelf-warmers looming?

Inventory growing much faster than sales announces discount battles and costs a point.

Excerpt from the rule profile

These exact rules run over every stock daily.

4 of 8 rules
Group:OR
+0 ptsExclusion
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.isat most50
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.is missing
At least one of these conditions must be met
Group:AND
+3 pts
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isgreater than0
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isless than0.5
All of these conditions must be met
Group:AND
+2 pts
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isat least0.5
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isless than1
All of these conditions must be met
Group:OR
−2 pts
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isgreater than2
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)isless than0
Dividend-adjusted PEG (Lynch)is missing
At least one of these conditions must be met
+ 4 more rules in the profile

After a free sign-up: the full profile in the rule editor to copy, adjust thresholds and save as your own starting profile.

See & copy all rules
What the backtest shows, and what it does not

How has the profile performed?

Strategy: +392.4%Benchmark (MSCI World): +240.1%
Start: Strategy 100Q2 2016: Strategy 100Q3 2016: Strategy 120Q4 2016: Strategy 136Q1 2017: Strategy 145Q2 2017: Strategy 141Q3 2017: Strategy 145Q4 2017: Strategy 142Q1 2018: Strategy 136Q2 2018: Strategy 135Q3 2018: Strategy 146Q4 2018: Strategy 144Q1 2019: Strategy 161Q2 2019: Strategy 163Q3 2019: Strategy 184Q4 2019: Strategy 193Q1 2020: Strategy 156Q2 2020: Strategy 156Q3 2020: Strategy 161Q4 2020: Strategy 215Q1 2021: Strategy 231Q2 2021: Strategy 236Q3 2021: Strategy 247Q4 2021: Strategy 279Q1 2022: Strategy 284Q2 2022: Strategy 261Q3 2022: Strategy 260Q4 2022: Strategy 249Q1 2023: Strategy 231Q2 2023: Strategy 242Q3 2023: Strategy 278Q4 2023: Strategy 290Q1 2024: Strategy 287Q2 2024: Strategy 284Q3 2024: Strategy 298Q4 2024: Strategy 338Q1 2025: Strategy 332Q2 2025: Strategy 359Q3 2025: Strategy 391Q4 2025: Strategy 449Q1 2026: Strategy 485Q2 2026: Strategy 49269182296410524StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q1 2026Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

The backtest shows a total return of +392.4%. The MSCI World reaches +240.1% over the same period.

+17.3%Return p.a.
+13.0%Benchmark p.a.
-19.4%Largest decline
+0.97Sharpe Ratio

Survivorship-free since June 30, 2015: the index composition is applied point-in-time.

Historical period, quarterly rebalancing, no taxes or fees. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The way of working this profile suits

Who is this strategy for?

For growth-oriented investors with valuation discipline: if you want growth but refuse to pay any price, the PEGY is the right yardstick, understandable, comparable and applicable across industries. Lynch favours smaller growth names ("small companies have big moves"); StockScorer reflects that with a priority for small caps.

Adopt, customise & track this strategy
What people usually ask before starting

Frequently asked questions

Does the strategy go back to Peter Lynch?
The PEGY principle and the inventory indicator became popular through Peter Lynch's books. StockScorer implements both as an automated point system, including Lynch's own dividend-adjusted PEGY and his growth ceiling, and has no affiliation with him.
Why does a PEGY below 0.5 get full points here?
The strategy follows the original logic that rewards extreme undervaluation maximally. If you are wary of the cyclical risk of very low PEGYs, Balanced GARP is the more cautious variant: there, PEGs below 0.5 deliberately earn no bonus.
Is this a recommendation to act?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I adjust the PEG tiers?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and modify it in the rule editor: tier boundaries, point values and the balance-sheet threshold are fully configurable.

Method & Criteria

The PEG strategy follows the principle Peter Lynch established as manager of the Magellan Fund: the price-earnings ratio alone means nothing until you set it against earnings growth. Lynch himself uses the PEGY for that: P/E divided by growth PLUS dividend yield, because for him a dividend is part of the total return. A PEGY of 1.0 counts as fair; below that, undervaluation begins, while Lynch himself already grades a PEG from 1.0 as "poor", with no extra bonus points. Growth above 50% per year counts as unsustainable in Lynch's view and is excluded. The core is flanked by two further Lynch-typical checks: a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity below a third) and the often overlooked inventory early-warning indicator. When inventories pile up faster than sales grow, discount campaigns and margin slumps are coming, long before they show up in the income statement.

How does the PEG strategy work?

A knockout gate first excludes growth above 50% per year: Lynch considers such high growth unsustainable. The PEGY ratio (P/E divided by expected earnings growth PLUS dividend yield) is then translated into tiers: below 0.5 counts as extreme undervaluation (+3), 0.5 to 1.0 as the ideal GARP window (+2). From 2.0 (or when no meaningful PEGY exists because earnings or growth are negative) the score is −2: the growth is then priced too expensively, or the thesis does not hold. The 1.0 to 2.0 window deliberately earns no points, since Lynch himself already grades a PEG from 1.0 as "poor".

Two quality checks complete the picture: a debt-to-equity ratio below 0.33 (a third, Lynch's own threshold) adds +1. If inventories grow slower than sales, that earns +1; if they grow more than 10 percentage points faster, it costs a point. For financials, balance-sheet and inventory rules do not apply and stay neutral. The upper threshold is a uniform 4 points across all size classes, with priority given to small caps.

The criteria at a glance

Growth gate (knockout): earnings growth up to 50% p.a., above that it counts as unsustainable.

PEGY 0–0.5: extreme undervaluation relative to growth (+3). PEGY 0.5–1.0: ideal window (+2). PEGY above 2, negative or missing: overpriced (−2). PEGY 1.0–2.0: fair, no bonus point.

Debt-to-equity below 0.33: conservative balance sheet (+1, neutral for financials).

Inventories: growth below sales growth (+1); more than 10 percentage points above it (−1), the shelf-warmer early indicator (neutral for financials).

Strengths, limits and calculation notes

The strength of the PEGY: it makes growth stocks comparable across industries and valuation levels, and the dividend yield in the denominator captures total return the way Lynch understood it. The weakness: it depends on the quality of the growth estimate. For cyclicals at an earnings peak the PEGY looks deceptively low, because the high growth is not sustainable. The sister strategy Balanced GARP addresses exactly this case by deliberately not rewarding extremely low PEGs.

Fidelity update as of 23 August 2026: the criterion now uses PEGY instead of the plain PEG (Lynch's own definition including dividend yield), the growth gate above 50% is new, the debt-to-equity threshold now sits at one third instead of 0.4, and the 1.0 to 1.5 window no longer earns a bonus, since Lynch himself already calls anything from 1.0 "poor". "Inventory growing much faster" remains concretised as more than 10 percentage points above sales growth. Companies without inventories (software, services) as well as financials stay neutral on both inventory rules and the balance-sheet rule. In the backtest the PEGY comes from the data provider's historical annual ratios.

Who is this strategy for?

For investors who want to filter growth companies systematically by their price-to-growth ratio: as a core strategy or as a valuation check over a growth watchlist.