Strategy profile

Trending Value (Value + Momentum): Current Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

Two uncorrelated factors in one score: a valuation composite finds the cheap stocks, momentum shows when the market starts to discover them.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

✓ Refreshed daily✓ Rule-based: no black box✓ Fully customisable
Total return in the backtest10 years to Q2 2026
Strategy
+149.1%
MSCI World
+240.1%

Gap to MSCI World: -91.0 percentage points total, -3.5 per year

76147218289360StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

+9.6%Return p.a. (backtest)
-3.5 ppvs. MSCI World p.a.
16,182Stocks analysed
SmallMidLargeCap classes
Classification of all stocks as of the latest data

What the profile looks like today

As of 11/15/2026
1,222High
6,353Medium
8,607Low
Classification in the universe
High 8%Medium 39%Low 53%

Based on all 16,182 stocks with a score. Not rated are stocks that the profile does not classify because of a size limit or an exclusion rule.

Distribution of scores in the market
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7
Score distribution as a data table
ScoreNumber of stocksHigh matchMedium matchLow match
-41,378001,378
-378100781
-296700967
-11,155001,155
01,894001,894
+12,432002,432
+22,57802,5780
+32,23402,2340
+41,54101,5410
+587887800
+628828800
+7565600
Countries of the high-match stocks
JP 30%ID 15%CN 10%BR 5%US 5%Other 35%
How rules turn into a score

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, here for example “Cheap on earnings (P/E 0–12)”.

02
Points & weighting

In this profile, each rule that is met counts +1 or −1 to −3 points.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. That gives three classes: high, medium, low match.

Low match
< 2 points
Medium match
2 – 4 points
High match
≥ 5 points

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

What the strategy measures a stock against

What is behind this strategy?

01
Is the stock cheap across the board?

Six metrics (P/E, P/B, EV/Sales, FCF yield, EV/EBITDA, payout) earn one point each.

02
Is the market starting to change its mind?

The absolute 6-month price move delivers a small add-on as a timing signal, without overriding the value filter.

03
Is a value trap looming?

An intact downtrend below −10% over six months costs a point: cheap and still falling is the classic trap.

04
Is expensive really expensive?

Being expensive on P/E, P/B and EV/EBITDA at the same time earns a hard deduction.

Excerpt from the rule profile

These exact rules run over every stock daily.

4 of 9 rules
Group:AND
+1 pts
Price-to-Earnings Ratioisgreater than0
Price-to-Earnings Ratioisless than12
All of these conditions must be met
Group:AND
+1 pts
Price-to-Book Ratioisgreater than0
Price-to-Book Ratioisless than1.5
All of these conditions must be met
EV / Salesisless than1.2+1 pts
Free cash flow yieldisgreater than6.7%+1 pts
+ 5 more rules in the profile

After signing up for free, you can copy the full profile in the rule editor, adjust its thresholds, and save it as your own starting profile.

See and copy all rules for free
What the backtest shows, and what it does not

How has the profile performed?

Strategy: +149.1%Benchmark (MSCI World): +240.1%
76147218289360StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

The backtest shows a total return of +149.1%. The MSCI World reaches +240.1% over the same period.

+9.6%Return p.a.
+13.0%Benchmark p.a.
-34.0%Largest decline
0.53Sharpe Ratio
Spread by start date

The same strategy with the same settings, started at every possible date. Each dot is a separate run over 5 years.

0%5%10%15%Start Q2 2016: 6.1% p.a., MSCI World 13.5% p.a.Start Q3 2016: 9.7% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q4 2016: 7.1% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2017: 3.5% p.a., MSCI World 11.8% p.a.Start Q2 2017: 3.3% p.a., MSCI World 9.9% p.a.Start Q3 2017: -0.1% p.a., MSCI World 9.4% p.a.Start Q4 2017: 1.2% p.a., MSCI World 8.7% p.a.Start Q1 2018: 6.7% p.a., MSCI World 11.0% p.a.Start Q2 2018: 4.7% p.a., MSCI World 10.6% p.a.Start Q3 2018: 5.1% p.a., MSCI World 9.5% p.a.Start Q4 2018: 3.5% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2019: 12.9% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q2 2019: 13.2% p.a., MSCI World 13.3% p.a.Start Q3 2019: 6.7% p.a., MSCI World 12.8% p.a.Start Q4 2019: 3.2% p.a., MSCI World 13.0% p.a.Start Q1 2020: 12.0% p.a., MSCI World 16.8% p.a.Start Q2 2020: 10.3% p.a., MSCI World 13.7% p.a.Start Q3 2020: 13.0% p.a., MSCI World 14.6% p.a.Start Q4 2020: 10.2% p.a., MSCI World 13.4% p.a.Start Q1 2021: 10.4% p.a., MSCI World 10.8% p.a.Start Q2 2021: 11.3% p.a., MSCI World 12.5% p.a.Q2 2016Q4 2018Q2 2021
  • Strategy
  • MSCI World
  • Median 6.7%
Median
6.7%
Mean
7.3%
Range
-0.1% to 13.2%
Standard deviation
4.1 percentage points
Ahead of MSCI World
0 of 21 runs

The periods overlap heavily, neighbouring runs share almost all periods. The spread therefore looks smaller than it would for independent periods. Past results say nothing about future ones.

Strategy calculated without fees and taxes, dividends reinvested.

Point-in-time composition since June 30, 2009: each period uses the members at that time. Stocks that left the market early may be missing, which favours the result.

Historical period, quarterly rebalancing. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Which stocks fit best today

Stocks with a High Match

Purely mechanical rule application, no curated-list effect: stocks with a high match can fall just like any other stock.

P/E, P/B, ROE and equity ratio are already visible publicly per stock. After signing up for free, you'll see additional metrics such as margin and debt, plus the live score history.
The way of working this profile suits

Who is this strategy for?

For systematic investors who want to harvest value premia without waiting years for the re-rating. The momentum trigger means more portfolio turnover than pure value strategies; if you rarely want to look at your portfolio, the classic valuation strategies are a better fit.

Adopt this strategy for free
What people usually ask before starting

Frequently asked questions

Is this based on O'Shaughnessy's Trending Value?
The strategy follows the principle described in "What Works on Wall Street": value composite as the filter, absolute 6-month momentum as the ranking. StockScorer uses absolute point tiers instead of percentile rankings and deliberately weights momentum lightly (±1) so it cannot replace the value filter.
Why is a single cheap metric not enough?
Because every single metric has systematic blind spots: P/E overlooks debt, P/B fails on intangibles, sales say nothing about margin. Only the breadth of the composite makes "cheap" robust.
Is this a recommendation to act?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I change the momentum weight?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and adjust it in the rule editor: momentum tiers, value thresholds and point values are fully configurable.

Method & Criteria

Single valuation metrics mislead: a low P/E can be a cyclical earnings peak, a low P/B a write-down candidate. James O'Shaughnessy showed empirically that a composite of several metrics ("Value Composite") is more reliable than any single figure, and that coupling it to a stubborn price momentum defuses the classic value trap: it is not the cheapest that gets selected, but the cheap stock the market has just begun to correct. In the original, value is the filter (only the cheapest decile is considered) and momentum ranks within it. StockScorer implements the value composite with six valuation points; the absolute 6-month price move, as in the original, has since the fidelity round acted only as a small ±1 add-on and tiebreaker, so momentum cannot override the value filter.

How does Value + Momentum work?

The value composite awards one point each for: P/E below 12, P/B below 1.5, EV/Sales below 1.2, FCF yield above 6.7% (equivalent to a price below 15 times free cash flow), EV/EBITDA below 8 and a shareholder yield (dividends plus net buybacks) above 2.5%. Being expensive or without a value on P/E, P/B and EV/EBITDA simultaneously earns −3: the most expensive corner of the market.

Momentum now provides only the timing, not the selection: an absolute 6-month price move above +10% earns +1 point, an intact downtrend below −10% costs 1 point. The upper threshold is a uniform 5 points across all size classes: at least four value hits plus positive momentum, or all six value hits alone.

The criteria at a glance

Value composite (each +1): P/E 0–12, P/B 0–1.5, EV/Sales 0–1.2, FCF yield > 6.7%, EV/EBITDA 0–8, shareholder yield > 2.5%.

Broad expensive deduction (−3): P/E above 25, P/B above 3 and EV/EBITDA above 15 at the same time; missing values count to the expensive side.

Momentum (absolute 6-month price move, as in the original): above +10% (+1), below −10% (−1). Also acts as the tiebreaker on equal scores.

Strengths, limits and deviations from the original

The original ("Trending Value") ranks the universe in two percentile stages: first the value composite of six metrics as a filter onto the cheapest decile, then momentum ranks WITHIN that decile. StockScorer translates the value rank into absolute thresholds: one binary cheapness point per metric. Three metrics are replaced by close relatives: EV/Sales instead of price/sales, FCF yield instead of price/FCF.

Fidelity update as of 23 August 2026: momentum is now deliberately weighted lightly (only ±1 instead of its own +5/+3/−2 ladder) and uses the absolute 6-month price move, as in the original, instead of relative strength versus the market, so it cannot override the value filter, mirroring the original where value filters first and momentum only ranks afterward. Shareholder yield (dividends plus net buybacks) replaces the previously used pure dividend yield, bringing it closer to O'Shaughnessy's own criterion.

The high share of binary individual criteria keeps the result transparently traceable, though in extreme market phases it can produce more or fewer hits than a true percentile ranking across the whole universe.

Who is this strategy for?

For rule-based investors who want to combine the value factor with a trend filter and are prepared to follow the system through more frequent signal changes.