Stock · COST · Consumer Defensive

Costco Wholesale Corp

United States · Large Cap · listed since 1993 · Revenue 12 mo. $303.2B

Price as of 11/06/2026

StockScorer score
3.6
of 10 4 of 11 points Low Match To the score
Price
$1,053.56
1 Y +4.5%
Market cap
$458.5B
Phase
Growth
revenue growing, core business profitable
Revenue +7.8% a year (3 years)EBIT margin 3.9%Payout 21.1% of operating cash flow

Summary

Costco Wholesale Corp is around the middle of the Consumer Defensive sector overall

51.1 of 100

Mean of the six area values. Each area value is the mean of the stock's ranks among the companies in its sector. 50 is the middle of the sector, not a share of companies beaten.

Analysis

What the price requires

The price requires 20.6% FCF growth a year, more than achieved over the last 5 and 10 years.

If free cash flow stays at €8.4B (2026), it supports €93.6B. The remaining €317.8B of the market value assume it grows 20.6% a year for 10 years and not at all afterwards.

Required FCF growth per year

20.6%

no growth afterwards

Market value breakdown€411.4B market value, price as of 11/06/2026

€93.6B without growth
€317.8B priced-in growth
  • 5 yrs achieved 15.2%
  • 10 yrs achieved 15.2%
  • priced in 20.6%

Valuation against its own history

Price to operating cash flow 29.6×, within its usual range.

Middle half of 20 quarters: 25.7× to 31.0×, median 28.0×.

Measures only against its own past, not against what the company is worth. Price as of 11/06/2026.

3 signs support the expectation, 1 speaks against it.

What supports it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • High return on capital every year ROCE at least 17.7% (10 years)
  • Low capital needs capex median 1.9% of revenue (10 years)
  • Steady FCF margin at least 1.5%, range 2.1 pp (10 years)

What speaks against it

with respect to the priced-in expectation

  • Expectation above the company's own record priced in 20.6%, achieved at most 15.2%

AI summary of the 2026 annual report

The business of Costco Wholesale Corp according to its report

A language model selected and condensed statements from the report. Each statement carries a verbatim quote. The selection is not complete and shows the state of the report. It gives no rating and does not feed into the score.

Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 08/30/2026, filed 10/07/2026. Open the report at the SEC

Revenue by segment, fiscal year ended 08/30/2026

SegmentShareRevenue
United States
72.5%
$219.8B
Other International
14.1%
$42.8B
Canada
13.4%
$40.6B

From the report's structured data (XBRL), not from the language model. The sum can differ slightly from group revenue.

Business model according to the report

  • The company mainly operates membership warehouses in the U.S., Puerto Rico and other countries, including Canada, Mexico, Japan and the U.K.

    Quote
    We are principally engaged in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States (U.S.) and Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom (U.K.), Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Sweden, Iceland, and New Zealand.
  • Members pay an annual membership fee of $65 in the U.S. The fee varies in other countries and includes a free household card.

    Quote
    Our annual fee for memberships is $65 in the U.S., varies in other countries and includes a free household card.
  • The business concept is that low prices on a limited selection of national-brand and private-label products in a wide range of categories will produce high sales volumes and fast inventory turnover.

    Quote
    We operate membership warehouses and e-commerce sites based on the concept that offering low prices on a limited selection of nationally-branded and private-label products in a wide range of categories will produce high sales volumes and rapid inventory turnover.
  • The company's gasoline business represented 11% of total net sales in 2026.

    Quote
    Our gasoline business represented 11% of total net sales in 2026.

Customers according to the report

  • Sales to Executive members made up approximately 75.2% of worldwide net sales in 2026.

    Quote
    The penetration of sales to Executive members represented approximately 75.2% of worldwide net sales in 2026.
  • Business centers sell items for food services, convenience stores and offices, through walk-in shopping and deliveries.

    Quote
    Our business centers carry items tailored for food services, convenience stores, and offices, and offer walk-in shopping and deliveries.

Competition according to the report

  • Walmart, Target, Kroger and Amazon are among the main general merchandise competitors in the U.S.

    Quote
    Walmart, Target, Kroger, and Amazon are among our significant general merchandise retail competitors in the U.S.
  • The company also competes with other warehouse clubs in the U.S., including Walmart's Sam's Club and BJ's Wholesale Club.

    Quote
    We also compete with other warehouse clubs, including Walmart’s Sam’s Club and BJ’s Wholesale Club in the U.S.
  • The industry is highly competitive, with competition based on factors such as price, quality and selection, location, convenience, distribution strategy and customer service.

    Quote
    Our industry is highly competitive, based on factors such as price, merchandise quality and selection, location, convenience, distribution strategy, and customer service.

Risks according to the report

  • The company's results depend heavily on its U.S. and Canadian operations, which made up 86% of net sales and 83% of operating income in 2026.

    Quote
    Our financial and operational performance is highly dependent on our U.S. and Canadian operations, which comprised 86% and 83% of net sales and operating income in 2026.
  • If the Kirkland Signature brand loses member acceptance or confidence, sales and gross margin results could be adversely affected.

    Quote
    If the Kirkland Signature brand experiences a loss of member acceptance or confidence, our sales and gross margin results could be adversely affected.
  • The fast development of AI has automated and accelerated cybersecurity threats, potentially reducing the time the company has to detect and limit security incidents.

    Quote
    The rapid evolution of AI has automated and accelerated the scale of cybersecurity threats, potentially reducing the time for us to detect and mitigate potential information security incidents.
  • Future exchange-rate fluctuations that are unfavorable may hurt the financial performance of the Canadian and other international operations.

    Quote
    Future fluctuations in exchange rates that are unfavorable to us may adversely affect the financial performance of our Canadian and Other International operations and have a corresponding adverse effect on our results of operations.
  • The company sells a substantial amount of gasoline, and demand for it could be affected by concerns and regulation about climate change.

    Quote
    We sell a substantial amount of gasoline, the demand for which could be impacted by concerns and regulation about climate change.

Since the last quarter

Q2 → Q3 2026

Mostly better than the previous quarter: 1 of 1 change for the better.

  • FCF, 12 mo.$8.8B → $9.4B+6.6%better

6 more unchanged: Revenue, 12 mo., Gross margin, EBIT margin, FCF margin, Shares outstanding, Return on equity

Derivation

How the sector comparison is derived

Each area value is the average of its metrics' ranks within the sector (0 to 100, 50 is the middle). For metrics where lower is better, the rank is mirrored. The overall value is the average of the area values.

Price as of 11/06/2026.

Profitability39.9below the middleEarns less than the sector: Gross margin 12.82%, sector 35.78%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Return on equity25.77%12.35%Rank 85
Return on capital (Greenblatt)28.53%20.14%Rank 69
EBIT margin3.85%9.44%Rank 19
FCF margin3.10%6.71%Rank 17
Gross margin12.82%35.78%Rank 9
Growth62.7above the middleGrows faster than the sector: Revenue growth, 1 year 10.14%, sector 2.12%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Revenue growth, 1 year10.14%2.12%Rank 92
Earnings growth, 3 years per year13.61%5.20%Rank 69
Earnings growth, 5 years per year13.00%6.07%Rank 73
Sustainable growth (ROE × retained earnings)2.12%3.77%Rank 17
Valuation20.2below the middleValued higher than the sector: EV/EBIT 38.15, sector 16.74.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Earnings yield1.97%4.25%Rank 12
FCF yield2.05%5.05%Rank 14
EV/saleslower is better1.471.51Rank 51
EV/EBITlower is better38.1516.74Rank 4
Momentum58.6around the middleShare price moving about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Share price, 1 year4.47%3.24%Rank 53
Share price, 6 months4.92%11.30%Rank 31
Share price, 3 months16.29%9.00%Rank 82
Distance from 52-week high−3.72%−7.96%Rank 70
Quality46.1around the middleQuality about like the sector.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Accruals (Sloan)lower is better−0.26%−0.99%Rank 39
Change in share countlower is better−0.08%−0.62%Rank 38
Dividend streak in years25Rank 30
Price reaction to results, market-adjusted2.41%0.22%Rank 77
Balance sheet & risk79.3above the middleLess risk than the sector: Volatility, 1 year 20.25%, sector 25.82%.
MetricStockSector medianPosition in sector
Equity ratio40.21%41.95%Rank 48
Net debt/EBITDAlower is better−0.891.96Rank 93
Debt to equitylower is better0.240.67Rank 81
Volatility, 1 yearlower is better20.25%25.82%Rank 96

Ten years in figures

Revenue from $129.0B (2017) to $303.2B (2026), 10.0% a year.

Fiscal years, amounts in USD
YearRevenue, $BEBIT marginFCF, $BSharesNet debt
2017129.03.2%4.2441M$2.1B
2018141.63.2%2.8442M$432.0M
2019152.73.1%3.4443M−$1.6B
2020166.83.3%6.1444M−$1.2B
2021195.93.4%5.4444M$149.0M
2022227.03.4%3.5445M$703.0M
2023242.33.4%6.7444M−$3.2B
2024254.53.7%6.6445M$43.0M
2025275.23.8%7.8445M−$3.9B
2026303.23.9%9.4444M−$11.6B
3.6 / 10Low MatchStockScorer score4 of 11 points

3 of 7 StockScorer Score rules met · How the score is built

Costco Wholesale Corp mainly meets criteria in the Profitability category. Result from 18 strategies checked.

This stock · Profitability: 67%This stock · Growth: 50%This stock · Valuation: 0%This stock · Momentum: 0%Median of all stocks · Profitability: 33%Median of all stocks · Growth: 0%Median of all stocks · Valuation: 0%Median of all stocks · Momentum: 0%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationMomentumThis stockMedian of all stocks

How Costco Wholesale Corp's score is built

Costco Wholesale Corp is rated here with the StockScorer Score strategy, the flagship rule set. It compares return and cash-flow metrics with the median of the company's own sector and checks growth and price trend.

3 of 7 rules met

4 of 11 points

  1. Free cash flow yield above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  2. Return on capital (Greenblatt ROC) above the sector medianmet2 of 2 points
  3. Return on equity above the sector medianmet1 of 1 point
  4. Free cash flow margin above the sector mediannot met0 of 2 points
  5. Revenue growth above 15%not met0 of 2 points
  6. 3-year earnings growth above 12% p.a.met1 of 1 point
  7. 12-month share price more than 20 percentage points ahead of the marketnot met0 of 1 point
  8. Exclusion: financial and real estate stocksdoes not apply

Detail data

How does Costco Wholesale Corp stock perform across 18 strategies?

Excerpt from 18 strategies checked. The full evaluation is visible after a free sign-up.

  • Mohanram G-Score: Growth QualityFor growth stocks, the substance check shows what is real investment and what is only an announcement.
    High
  • Piotroski F-Score (9-Point Check)Nine hard balance-sheet criteria separate substance from a downward spiral.
    Low
  • Moat QualityCompanies with an economic moat, recognisable by persistently high returns and defended margins.
    Medium
  • Balanced GARPSteady growth at a fair price, sitting between value and growth.
    Medium
  • Defensive: Low VolatilityLow swings instead of maximum return, which is what the low-volatility anomaly exploits.
    Medium
  • StockScorer ScoreMeasured against its own sector: quality, valuation, growth and market confirmation.
    Low
12 more strategies locked

With a free account, you can see the match across all strategies checked in one complete overview.

  • Altman Z-Score: Stress Test
  • Dividend Quality: 4 Factors
  • Earnings Quality: Accrual Check (Sloan)
  • Growth Momentum (CAN SLIM principle)
  • Undervalued Stocks: Multi-Factor Check
  • Levermann Strategy (13 Criteria)
  • Magic Formula: Value + Quality
  • Acquirer's Multiple: EV/EBIT Deep Value
  • Dividend Aristocrats & Continuity
  • High-Growth / Rule of 40
  • PEG Strategy (inspired by Peter Lynch)
  • Trending Value: Value + Momentum

Costco Wholesale Corp key metrics: P/E, P/B and equity ratio

Selected fundamental metrics for Costco Wholesale Corp.

MetricStockSector
P/E ratio50.822.8
P/B ratio13.12.6
Return on equity (ROE)25.8%12.3%
Equity ratio40.2%42.0%
Debt-to-equity (D/E)0.240.67
Dividend yield0.5%2.6%

Similar stocks in Consumer Defensive

How comparable stocks in the same sector score in the StockScorer model.

SymbolCompanyRating
COSTCostco Wholesale Corpthis page
WMTWalmart Inc.Low1.8
TGTTarget CorporationLow1.8
WALMEX.MXWal-Mart de México S.A.B. de C.V.locked
DOL.TODollarama Inclocked
DGDollar General Corporationlocked

Frequently asked questions about Costco Wholesale Corp stock

How does Costco Wholesale Corp stock (COST) score in the StockScorer model?
Costco Wholesale Corp stock reaches a StockScorer score of 3.6 out of 10, which is a low match with the rule-based strategies. 3 out of 7 flagship profile rules are met.
What is Costco Wholesale Corp's P/E ratio?
Costco Wholesale Corp's P/E ratio is 50.8. The Consumer Defensive sector median is 22.8.
What sector is Costco Wholesale Corp in?
Costco Wholesale Corp is assigned to the Consumer Defensive sector. Its rank within the sector is 51.1 out of 100: 100 means the stock leads its peer group of large and mid-cap sector stocks in every measured area.

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