Strategy profile

Balanced GARP: Current Backtest & Top Stocks 2026

It is not the fastest growth that wins, but the steadiest at a fair price: GARP avoids deep-value risks and valuation bubbles alike.

Save the strategy and StockScorer checks its rules for you every day. You'll get a heads-up whenever a stock crosses the upper or lower score threshold.

✓ Refreshed daily✓ Rule-based: no black box✓ Fully customisable
Total return in the backtest10 years to Q2 2026
Strategy
+366.0%
MSCI World
+240.1%

Gap to MSCI World: +125.9 percentage points total, +3.6 per year

71177283389495StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

+16.6%Return p.a. (backtest)
+3.6 ppvs. MSCI World p.a.
16,182Stocks analysed
SmallMidLargeCap classes
Classification of all stocks as of the latest data

What the profile looks like today

As of 11/15/2026
1,356High
2,589Medium
12,237Low
Classification in the universe
High 8%Medium 16%Low 76%

Based on all 16,182 stocks with a score. Not rated are stocks that the profile does not classify because of a size limit or an exclusion rule.

Distribution of scores in the market
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5

Bars by actual classification. The thresholds depend on the cap class: Large caps: high from 3, low below 1 points; Mid caps and Small caps: high from 4, low below 2 points. Above them, the number of high matches per score.

Score distribution as a data table
ScoreNumber of stocksHigh matchMedium matchLow match
-26,761006,761
-12,993002,993
01,682001,682
+11,0390238801
+21,31601,3160
+31,3443091,0350
+470970900
+533833800
Countries of the high-match stocks
US 15%IN 15%CN 10%FI 5%BR 5%Other 50%
How rules turn into a score

How the scoring works

Every stock runs through the same disclosed rules. The points add up to a score, traceable down to the individual rule.

01
Rules

Each rule checks a metric against a threshold, here for example “Cheaper than its own history (P/E < 5Y average)”.

02
Points & weighting

In this profile, each rule that is met counts +1 to +2 or −1 points.

03
Score & classification

The sum is the score. That gives three classes: high, medium, low match.

Low match
< 2 points
Medium match
2 – 3 points
High match
≥ 4 points

Thresholds vary by cap class.

These terms describe only the match with the criteria, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

What the strategy measures a stock against

What is behind this strategy?

Profile of a stock with a high match
High match · Profitability: 100%High match · Growth: 50%High match · Valuation: 67%Market average · Profitability: 23%Market average · Growth: 43%Market average · Valuation: 44%50%100%ProfitabilityGrowthValuationHigh matchMarket average
01
Are earnings growing steadily?

10 to 25% per year over five years: the stability band earns the highest single score (+2).

02
Is the stock historically cheap?

The current P/E is measured against its own 5-year average, not against the market.

03
Does the company earn enough?

A return on equity above 15% ensures the growth is generated profitably.

04
Is the price in the GARP window?

PEG between 0 and 1.2, with no floor; above that growth gets too expensive.

Excerpt from the rule profile

These exact rules run over every stock daily.

4 of 6 rules
Group:AND
+1 pts
Price-to-Earnings Ratioisgreater than0
Price-to-Earnings Ratioisless than5-Year P/E (avg.)
All of these conditions must be met
Group:AND
+2 pts
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.isat least10%
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.isless than25%
All of these conditions must be met
Group:OR
−1 pts
Group:OR
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.isless than0%
Earnings Growth 5Y avg.is missing
At least one of these conditions must be met
EPS Growth (YoY)isless than0%
At least one of these conditions must be met
Return on Equityisgreater than15%+1 pts
+ 2 more rules in the profile

After signing up for free, you can copy the full profile in the rule editor, adjust its thresholds, and save it as your own starting profile.

See and copy all rules for free
What the backtest shows, and what it does not

How has the profile performed?

Strategy: +366.0%Benchmark (MSCI World): +240.1%
71177283389495StartQ2 2017Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2021Q2 2022Q3 2023Q4 2024Q2 2026StrategyBenchmark (MSCI World)

Index, start = 100

The backtest shows a total return of +366.0%. The MSCI World reaches +240.1% over the same period.

+16.6%Return p.a.
+13.0%Benchmark p.a.
-21.6%Largest decline
1.07Sharpe Ratio
Spread by start date

The same strategy with the same settings, started at every possible date. Each dot is a separate run over 5 years.

5%10%15%20%Start Q2 2016: 14.7% p.a., MSCI World 13.5% p.a.Start Q3 2016: 10.3% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q4 2016: 12.1% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2017: 2.2% p.a., MSCI World 11.8% p.a.Start Q2 2017: 4.6% p.a., MSCI World 9.9% p.a.Start Q3 2017: 6.4% p.a., MSCI World 9.4% p.a.Start Q4 2017: 7.7% p.a., MSCI World 8.7% p.a.Start Q1 2018: 7.6% p.a., MSCI World 11.0% p.a.Start Q2 2018: 8.1% p.a., MSCI World 10.6% p.a.Start Q3 2018: 5.8% p.a., MSCI World 9.5% p.a.Start Q4 2018: 9.3% p.a., MSCI World 13.8% p.a.Start Q1 2019: 17.5% p.a., MSCI World 13.2% p.a.Start Q2 2019: 13.8% p.a., MSCI World 13.3% p.a.Start Q3 2019: 14.9% p.a., MSCI World 12.8% p.a.Start Q4 2019: 14.6% p.a., MSCI World 13.0% p.a.Start Q1 2020: 20.4% p.a., MSCI World 16.8% p.a.Start Q2 2020: 21.9% p.a., MSCI World 13.7% p.a.Start Q3 2020: 18.0% p.a., MSCI World 14.6% p.a.Start Q4 2020: 16.5% p.a., MSCI World 13.4% p.a.Start Q1 2021: 14.7% p.a., MSCI World 10.8% p.a.Start Q2 2021: 11.1% p.a., MSCI World 12.5% p.a.Q2 2016Q4 2018Q2 2021
  • Strategy
  • MSCI World
  • Median 12.1%
Median
12.1%
Mean
12.0%
Range
2.2% to 21.9%
Standard deviation
5.4 percentage points
Ahead of MSCI World
10 of 21 runs

The periods overlap heavily, neighbouring runs share almost all periods. The spread therefore looks smaller than it would for independent periods. Past results say nothing about future ones.

Strategy calculated without fees and taxes, dividends reinvested.

Point-in-time composition since June 30, 2009: each period uses the members at that time. Stocks that left the market early may be missing, which favours the result.

Historical period, quarterly rebalancing. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The way of working this profile suits

Who is this strategy for?

For long-term investors seeking the compromise: more dynamism than classic dividend stocks, less risk than hyper-growth. GARP stocks are rarely spectacular. That is exactly the idea.

Adopt this strategy for free
What people usually ask before starting

Frequently asked questions

What distinguishes Balanced GARP from the PEG strategy?
Both use a PEG ratio, but with a different philosophy: the PEG strategy uses Lynch's PEGY and gives extreme undervaluation its own tier, while GARP additionally demands growth stability over five years and treats the whole 0-to-1.2 PEG window uniformly. GARP is the more cautious, longer-term variant.
Why is the stability band more important than the level of growth?
Because 40% growth one year and −10% the next are worth less than a constant 15%: steady growth points to structural demand rather than one-off effects and extrapolates far more reliably into the future.
Is this a recommendation to act?
No. StockScorer provides automated, rule-based assessments for information only. Nothing here replaces individual financial advice or constitutes a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Can I shift the growth band?
Yes. After free registration you can copy the profile and adjust it in the rule editor: band, PEG window and all point values are fully configurable.

Method & Criteria

GARP (growth at a reasonable price) is the middle path between the extremes: deep value leans into low prices and risks structurally sick companies; pure growth leans into dynamism and risks valuation bubbles. The balanced GARP model demands both in moderation: steady earnings growth of 10 to 25% per year (fast enough for real compounding, slow enough to be sustainable), a P/E below its own 5-year average and a PEG in the fair window. Extremely low PEGs are deliberately not rewarded: they often point to cyclical earnings peaks whose growth will not repeat.

How does Balanced GARP work?

Four building blocks form the score: earnings growth of 10 to 25% per year (5-year CAGR) earns +2. The stability band is deliberately the highest single score. A current P/E below its own 5-year average earns +1, a return on equity above 15% another +1, and a PEG between 0.5 and 1.2 one more point.

On the deduction side: declining or unstable earnings growth (negative 5-year trend, missing history or a recently fallen profit) costs one point, as does a PEG above 2 (or without a meaningful value). The upper threshold is 3 points for large caps and 4 for mid and small caps.

The criteria at a glance

Historical valuation: current P/E below its own 5-year average (+1).

Earnings stability: 5-year CAGR between 10 and 25% (+2); negative trend, missing history or recently declining earnings (−1).

Profitability: return on equity above 15% (+1).

Valuation: PEG 0–1.2, no floor (+1); PEG above 2, negative or missing (−1).

Strengths, limits and deviations from the original

The difference to the PEG strategy lies in the treatment of extremes: a PEG of 0.3 earns a dedicated extreme-undervaluation bonus there, while here it counts unremarkably within the whole 0-to-1.2 window. Since the fidelity round (23 August 2026) the PEG window no longer has a floor (previously 0.5 to 1.2): even very low PEGs score here, and the safety net against cyclical traps stays ga-03 (a deduction for recently declining profit), not a PEG minimum.

Absurdly low PEGs frequently occur in commodity and cyclical stocks at the end of a boom cycle, when the seemingly high growth is about to tip over. Documented deviation: the original criterion "EPS growth between 10 and 25% in every single year" cannot be mapped directly with annual data. StockScorer uses the 5-year CAGR band and adds a deduction when the most recent annual profit declined: together a good approximation of "steady rather than erratic".

Who is this strategy for?

For patient quality investors who want growth without paying for hope stocks, as a core strategy for the long-term portfolio.